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Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Zhongquan Tan , Shengchao Zheng

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

Recent work has suggested that in highly correlated systems, such as sandpiles, turbulent fluids, ignited trees in forest fires and magnetization in a ferromagnet close to a critical point, the probability distribution of a global quantity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Sandra Chapman , George Rowlands , Nicholas Watkins

We investigate the limiting distribution of the fluctuations of the maximal summand in a random partition of a large integer with respect to a multiplicative statistics. We show that for a big family of Gibbs measures on partitions (so…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Vershik , Yu. Yakubovich

The risk of occurrence of atypical phenomena is a cross-cutting concern in several areas, such as engineering, climatology, finance, actuarial, among others. Extreme value theory is the natural tool to approach this theme. Many of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Marta Ferreira , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira

The well-known Gumbel-Max Trick for sampling elements from a categorical distribution (or more generally a non-negative vector) and its variants have been widely used in areas such as machine learning and information retrieval. To sample a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Yuanming Zhang , Pinghui Wang , Yiyan Qi , Kuankuan Cheng , Junzhou Zhao , Guangjian Tian , Xiaohong Guan

The zeros of complex Gaussian random polynomials, with coefficients such that the density in the underlying complex space is uniform, are known to have the same statistical properties as the zeros of the coherent state representation of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 P. J. Forrester , G. Honner

We investigate the statistics of the most connected nodes in scale-free networks. For a scale-free network model with homogeneous nodes, we show by means of extensive simulations that the exponential truncation--due to the finite size of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Andre Auto Moreira , Jose Soares de Andrade , Luis A. Nunes Amaral

This paper introduces a new three-parameters model called the Weibull-G exponential distribution (WGED) distribution which exhibits bathtub-shaped hazard rate. Some of it's statistical properties are obtained including quantile, moments,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , Shamsan AL-Garash

We investigate the sub-Gaussian property for almost surely bounded random variables. If sub-Gaussianity per se is de facto ensured by the bounded support of said random variables, then exciting research avenues remain open. Among these…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Julyan Arbel , Olivier Marchal , Hien D. Nguyen

We introduce a new approach for ground motion relations (GMR) in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), being influenced by the extreme value theory of mathematical statistics. Therein, we understand a GMR as a random function.…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Mathias Raschke

These notes were written for the mini-course "Extrema of log-correlated random variables: Principles and Examples" at the Introductory School held in January 2015 at the Centre International de Rencontres Math\'ematiques in Marseille. There…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-05 Louis-Pierre Arguin

A flexible model for non-stationary Gaussian random fields on hypersurfaces is introduced.The class of random fields on curves and surfaces is characterized by an amplitude spectral density of a second order elliptic differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Erik Jansson , Annika Lang , Mike Pereira

Max-stable random fields can be constructed according to Schlather (2002) with a random function or a stationary process and a kind of random event magnitude. These are applied for the modelling of natural hazards. We simply extend these…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-22 Mathias Raschke

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

For an $n\times n$ Laplacian random matrix $L$ with Gaussian entries it is proven that the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue and the largest diagonal entry of $L/\sqrt{n-1}$ are Gumbel. We first establish suitable non-asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Santiago Arenas-Velilla , Victor Pérez-Abreu

The functional characterization of a measure, an essential but delicate aspect of Stein's method, is shown to be accessible for stable probability distributions on convex cones. This notion encompasses the usual stable distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Costacèque , Decreusefond

Our data are random fields of multivariate Gaussian observations, and we fit a multivariate linear model with common design matrix at each point. We are interested in detecting those points where some of the coefficients are nonzero using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 J. E. Taylor , K. J. Worsley

We study point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel distribution under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas