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Extreme value distributions are routinely employed to assess risks connected to extreme events in a large number of applications. They typically are two- or three- parameter distributions: the inference can be unstable, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Nathan Huet , Ilaria Prosdocimi

The proposed paper discusses the problem of discrimination between close hypotheses about distributions belonging to the Gumbel maximum domain of attraction. The distinctive feature of the proposed work is using only k higher order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Igor Rodionov

We consider point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the largest extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel or the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas

We consider the signed density of the extremal points of (two-dimensional) scalar fields with a Gaussian distribution. We assign a positive unit charge to the maxima and minima of the function and a negative one to its saddles. At first, we…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-26 Georg Foltin

In the framework of Cramer's probabilistic model of primes, we explore the exact and asymptotic distributions of maximal prime gaps. We show that the Gumbel extreme value distribution exp(-exp(-x)) is the limit law for maximal gaps between…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Alexei Kourbatov

We study the statistical distribution of the closest encounter between generic smooth observations computed along different trajectories of a rapidly mixing dynamical system. At the limit of large trajectories, we obtain a distribution of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-31 Theophile Caby

In a previous paper, the authors introduced an approach to prove that the statistics of the extremes of a log-correlated Gaussian field converge to a Poisson-Dirichlet variable at the level of the Gibbs measure at low temperature and under…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Olivier Zindy

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

We consider a class of non-homogeneous, continuous, centered Gaussian random fields $\{X_h(t), t \in {\cal M}_h;\,0 < h \le 1\}$ where ${\cal M}_h$ denotes a rescaled smooth manifold, i.e. ${\cal M}_h = \frac{1}{h} {\cal M},$ and study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-26 Wanli Qiao , Wolfgang Polonik

We consider the extreme eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix $Q=YY^*$ under the generalized elliptical model that $Y=\Sigma^{1/2}XD.$ Here $\Sigma$ is a bounded $p \times p$ positive definite deterministic matrix representing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-20 Xiucai Ding , Jiahui Xie , Long Yu , Wang Zhou

We study the distribution of the maximum of a large class of Gaussian fields indexed by a box $V_N\subset Z^d$ and possessing logarithmic correlations up to local defects that are sufficiently rare. Under appropriate assumptions that…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Florian Schweiger , Ofer Zeitouni

We show that the centered maximum of a sequence of log-correlated Gaussian fields in any dimension converges in distribution, under the assumption that the covariances of the fields converge in a suitable sense. We identify the limit as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Jian Ding , Rishideep Roy , Ofer Zeitouni

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion due to an excess of zeroes or extreme values. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Samuel Valiquette , Frédéric Mortier , Jean Peyhardi , Gwladys Toulemonde

The Weibull--like distributions form a large class of probability distributions that belong to the domain of attraction for the maxima of the Gumbel law. Besides the Weibull distribution, it includes important distributions as the Gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Armengol Gasull , José A. López-Salcedo , Frederic Utzet

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

This paper presents a new methodology for generating continuous statistical distributions, integrating the exponentiated odds ratio within the framework of survival analysis. This new method enhances the flexibility and adaptability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Xinyu Chen , Yuanqi Xie , Achraf Cohen , Shusen Pu

This paper studies Gaussian random fields with Mat\'ern covariance functions with smooth parameter $\nu>2$. Two cases of parameter spaces, the Euclidean space and $N$-dimensional sphere, are considered. For such smooth Gaussian fields, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Dan Cheng

A simple estimator for the finite right endpoint of a distribution function in the Gumbel max-domain of attraction is proposed. Large sample properties such as consistency and the asymptotic distribution are derived. A simulation study is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Isabel Fraga Alves , Cláudia Neves

We investigate the statistics of the largest eigenvalue, $\lambda_{\rm max}$, in an ensemble of $N\times N$ large ($N\gg 1$) sparse adjacency matrices, $A_N$. The most attention is paid to the distribution and typical fluctuations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-14 Bogdan Slavov , Kirill Polovnikov , Sergei Nechaev , Nikita Pospelov