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Across the sciences, the statistical analysis of networks is central to the production of knowledge on relational phenomena. Because of their ability to model the structural generation of networks, exponential random graph models are a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Bruce A. Desmarais , Skyler J. Cranmer

The variability of structure in a finite Markov equivalence class of causally sufficient models represented by directed acyclic graphs has been fully characterized. Without causal sufficiency, an infinite semi-Markov equivalence class of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Benoit Desjardins

Multivariate peaks over thresholds modeling based on generalized Pareto distributions has up to now only been used in few and mostly 2-dimensional situations. This paper contributes theoretical understanding, physically based models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Count data are ubiquitous in ecology and the Poisson generalized linear model (GLM) is commonly used to model the association between counts and explanatory variables of interest. When fitting this model to the data, one typically proceeds…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Harlan Campbell

This paper proposes a new generalized linear model with the fractional binomial distribution. Zero-inflated Poisson/negative binomial distributions are used for count data with many zeros. To analyze the association of such a count variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Jeonghwa Lee , Chloe Breece

This paper explores improvements in prediction accuracy and inference capability when allowing for potential correlation in team-level random effects across multiple game-level responses from different assumed distributions. First-order and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-01 Jennifer E. Broatch , Andrew T. Karl

The Poisson log-normal model is a latent variable model that provides a generic framework for the analysis of multivariate count data. Inferring its parameters can be a daunting task since the conditional distribution of the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Julien Stoehr , Stephane S. Robin

We present a class of flexible and tractable static factor models for the term structure of joint default probabilities, the factor copula models. These high-dimensional models remain parsimonious with pair-copula constructions, and nest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Damien Ackerer , Thibault Vatter

In this article, we define a matrix multinomial distribution. We prove some properties of the matrix multinomial distribution. We prove that the matrix Poisson distribution can be used as an approximation to the matrix multinomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Yuriy Yurchenko

We prove a completeness result for Multiplicative Exponential Linear Logic (MELL): we show that the relational model is injective for MELL proof-nets, i.e. the equality between MELL proof-nets in the relational model is exactly axiomatized…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Daniel de Carvalho

A useful technique for analyzing incomplete tables is to model the missing data mechanisms of the variables using log-linear models. In this paper, we use log-linear parametrization and propose estimation methods for arbitrary three-way and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 S. Ghosh , P. Vellaisamy

We derive a family of correctness conditions for complex Langevin simulations. In particular, we show that if in a given theory the expectation values of all observables within a particular space satisfy the theory's Schwinger-Dyson…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-12-11 Michael Mandl , Erhard Seiler , Dénes Sexty

The stochastic expansion of the marginal quasi-likelihood function associated with a class of generalized linear models is shown. Based on the expansion, a quasi-Bayesian information criterion is proposed that is able to deal with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-19 Shoichi Eguchi

We describe an algorithm for the sequential sampling of entries in multiway contingency tables with given constraints. The algorithm can be used for computations in exact conditional inference. To justify the algorithm, a theory relates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yuguo Chen , Ian H. Dinwoodie , Seth Sullivant

Probabilistic independence can dramatically simplify the task of eliciting, representing, and computing with probabilities in large domains. A key technique in achieving these benefits is the idea of graphical modeling. We survey existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Fahiem Bacchus , Adam J. Grove

A generalized continuous economic model is proposed for random markets. In this model, agents interact by pairs and exchange their money in a random way. A parameter controls the effectiveness of the transactions between the agents. We show…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-11 R. Lopez-Ruiz , E. Shivanian , S. Abbasbandy , J. L. Lopez

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu

We present distributions of countable models and correspondent structural characteristics of complete theories with continuum many types: for prime models over finite sets relative to Rudin-Keisler preorders, for limit models over types and…

Logic · Mathematics 2012-10-16 Roman A. Popkov , Sergey V. Sudoplatov

Generalized linear mixed models are powerful tools for analyzing clustered data, where the unknown parameters are classically (and most commonly) estimated by the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood procedures. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Andrea M. Bratsberg , Magne Thoresen , Abhik Ghosh

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz