Related papers: Estimation of Kramers-Moyal coefficients at low sa…
In this paper, we study a smoothness regularization method for a varying coefficient model based on sparse and irregularly sampled functional data which is contaminated with some measurement errors. We estimate the one-dimensional…
Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…
In neuroscience, the distribution of a decision time is modelled by means of a one-dimensional Fokker--Planck equation with time-dependent boundaries and space-time-dependent drift. Efficient approximation of the solution to this equation…
We study the long-time dynamics of two-dimensional linear Fokker-Planck equations driven by a drift that can be decomposed in the sum of a large shear component and the gradient of a regular potential depending on one spatial variable. The…
We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…
We propose a method to reduce the relaxation time towards equilibrium in stochastic sampling of complex energy landscapes in statistical systems with discrete degrees of freedom by generalizing the platform previously developed for…
Inference for statistics of a stationary time series often involve nuisance parameters and sampling distributions that are difficult to estimate. In this paper, we propose the method of orthogonal samples, which can be used to address some…
We consider the fundamental learning problem of estimating properties of distributions over large domains. Using a novel piecewise-polynomial approximation technique, we derive the first unified methodology for constructing sample- and…
We propose a two-stage estimation method of variance components in time series models known as FDSLRMs, whose observations can be described by a linear mixed model (LMM). We based estimating variances, fundamental quantities in a time…
The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…
We prove existence and uniqueness of solutions to Fokker--Planck equations associated to Markov operators multiplicatively perturbed by degenerate time-inhomogeneous coefficients. Precise conditions on the time-inhomogeneous coefficients…
The Stochastic Liouville-von Neumann equation provides an exact numerical simulation strategy for quantum systems interacting with Gaussian reservoirs [J.T. Stockburger & H. Grabert, PRL 88, 170407 (2002)]. Its scaling with the extension of…
We develop a method for estimating well-conditioned and sparse covariance and inverse covariance matrices from a sample of vectors drawn from a sub-gaussian distribution in high dimensional setting. The proposed estimators are obtained by…
Motivated by the goal of improving the efficiency of small sample design, we propose a novel Bayesian stochastic approximation method to estimate the root of a regression function. The method features adaptive local modelling and…
Adaptive homodyne estimation of a continuously evolving optical phase using time-symmetric quantum smoothing has been demonstrated experimentally to provide superior accuracy in the phase estimate compared to adaptive or nonadaptive…
For complex nonlinear systems, it is challenging to design algorithms that are fast, scalable, and give an accurate approximation of the stability region. This paper proposes a sampling-based approach to address these challenges. By…
Particle density fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas, as measured by gas-puff imaging or Langmuir probes, are modeled as the realization of a stochastic process in which a superposition of pulses with a…
The periodization of a stationary Gaussian random field on a sufficiently large torus comprising the spatial domain of interest is the basis of various efficient computational methods, such as the classical circulant embedding technique…
The complexity of semiparametric models poses new challenges to statistical inference and model selection that frequently arise from real applications. In this work, we propose new estimation and variable selection procedures for the…
Recently, global pulsar timing arrays have released results from searching for a nano-Hertz gravitational wave background signal. Although there has not been any definite evidence of the presence of such a signal in residuals of pulsar…