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We introduce tools for inference in the multifractal random walk introduced by Bacry et al. (2001). These tools include formulas for smoothing, filtering and volatility forecasting. In addition, we present methods for computing conditional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-27 Ola Løvsletten , Martin Rypdal

This article considers multivariate linear processes whose components are either short- or long-range dependent. The functional central limit theorems for the sample mean and the sample autocovariances for these processes are investigated,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-13 Marie-Christine Düker

We consider a recursive algorithm to construct an aggregated estimator from a finite number of base decision rules in the classification problem. The estimator approximately minimizes a convex risk functional under the l1-constraint. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Alexandre Tsybakov , Nicolas Vayatis

We prove a quenched functional central limit theorem (quenched FCLT) for the sums of a random field (r.f.) along a Z d-random walk in different frameworks: probabilistic (when the r.f. is i.i.d. or a moving average of i.i.d. random…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Jean-Pierre Conze

We employ the recently introduced conformal iterative construction of Diffusion Limited Aggregates (DLA) to study the multifractal properties of the harmonic measure. The support of the harmonic measure is obtained from a dynamical process…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Benny Davidovich , Itamar Procaccia

Based on the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) and on the Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima (WTMM) methods we investigate the origin of multifractality in the time series. Series fluctuating according to a qGaussian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

The multifractal formalism for measures hold whenever the existence of corresponding Gibbs-like measures supported on the singularities sets holds. In the present work we tried to relax such a hypothesis and introduce a more general…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2018-04-25 Mohamed Menceur , Anouar Ben Mabrouk

In this paper, we study a class of unbalanced step-reinforced random walks that unifies the elephant random walk, the positively step-reinforced random walk, and the negatively step-reinforced random walk. By establishing a connection with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Zhishui Hu , Liang Dong

In this work, the estimation of the multivariate normal mean by different classes of shrinkage estimators is investigated. The risk associated with the balanced loss function is used to compare two estimators. We start by considering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Abdelkader Benkhaled , Mekki Terbeche , Abdenour Hamdaoui

We revisit the multifractal analysis of $\R^d$-valued branching random walks averages by considering subsets of full Hausdorff dimension of the standard level sets, over each infinite branch of which a quantified version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Najmeddine Attia , Julien Barral

We estimate the upper and lower bounds of the Hewitt$\textbf{-}$Stromberg dimensions. In particular, these results give new proofs of theorems on the multifractal formalism which is based on the Hewitt$\textbf{-}$Stromberg measures and…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Bilel Selmi

Scaling properties of time series are usually studied in terms of the scaling laws of empirical moments, which are the time average estimates of moments of the dynamic variable. Nonlinearities in the scaling function of empirical moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

Consider a stochastic process that behaves as a $d$-dimensional simple and symmetric random walk, except that, with a certain fixed probability, at each step, it chooses instead to jump to a given site with probability proportional to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Cécile Mailler , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

We address the question whether the sequence of areas between coalescing random walkers displays multiscaling and in the process calculate the second moment as well as the two point correlation function exactly. The scaling of higher order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-13 Peter Welinder , Gunnar Pruessner , Kim Christensen

We consider a specific random graph which serves as a disordered medium for a particle performing biased random walk. Take a two-sided infinite horizontal ladder and pick a random spanning tree with a certain edge weight $c$ for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Nina Gantert , Achim Klenke

Central limit theorems play an important role in the study of statistical inference for stochastic processes. However, when the nonparametric local polynomial threshold estimator, especially local linear case, is employed to estimate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Yuping Song , Hanchao Wang

In this paper we establish Functional Limit Theorems for the range of random walks in $\mathbb{Z}^d$ that are in the domain of attraction of a non-degenerate $\beta$-stable process in the weakly transient and recurrent regimes. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Maxence Baccara

Motivated by applications to the study of depth functions for tree-indexed random variables generated by point processes, we describe functional limit theorems for the intensity measure of point processes. Specifically, we establish uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Giacomo Francisci , Anand N. Vidyashankar

In this paper we introduce a generalization of classical risk measures in which the risk is represented by a step function taking two values, corresponding to two endogenously determined market regimes. This extends the traditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Mihaela-Adriana Nistor , Ionel Popescu

We develop and analyze $M$-estimation methods for divergence functionals and the likelihood ratios of two probability distributions. Our method is based on a non-asymptotic variational characterization of $f$-divergences, which allows the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 XuanLong Nguyen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan