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What can be considered an appropriate statistical method for the primary analysis of a randomized clinical trial (RCT) with a time-to-event endpoint when we anticipate non-proportional hazards owing to a delayed effect? This question has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 José L. Jiménez , Isobel Barrott , Francesca Gasperoni , Dominic Magirr

This paper develops a framework for incorporating prior information into sequential multiple testing procedures while maintaining asymptotic optimality. We define a weighted log-likelihood ratio (WLLR) as an additive modification of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Soumyabrata Bose , Jay Bartroff

Proportional hazards are a common assumption when designing confirmatory clinical trials in oncology. With the emergence of immunotherapy and novel targeted therapies, departure from the proportional hazard assumption is not rare in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 José L. Jiménez

In confirmatory cancer clinical trials, overall survival (OS) is normally a primary endpoint in the intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis under regulatory standards. After the tumor progresses, it is common that patients allocated to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 José L. Jiménez , Julia Niewczas , Alexander Bore , Carl-Fredrik Burman

Proportional hazards are a common assumption when designing confirmatory clinical trials in oncology. This assumption not only affects the analysis part but also the sample size calculation. The presence of delayed effects causes a change…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Jose L Jimenez , Viktoriya Stalbovskaya , Byron Jones

When planning a clinical trial for a time-to-event endpoint, we require an estimated effect size and need to consider the type of effect. Usually, an effect of proportional hazards is assumed with the hazard ratio as the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Ina Dormuth

Single-arm studies in the early development phases of new treatments are not uncommon in the context of rare diseases or in paediatrics. If an assessment of efficacy is to be made at the end of such a study, the observed endpoints can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Rene Schmidt

We propose a new class of weighted logrank tests (WLRT) that control the risk of concluding that a new drug is more efficacious than standard of care, when, in fact, it is uniformly inferior. Perhaps surprisingly, this risk is not…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-31 Dominic Magirr , Carl-Fredrik Burman

Non-proportional hazards (NPH) have been observed in confirmatory clinical trials with time to event outcomes. Under NPH, the hazard ratio does not stay constant over time and the log-rank test is no longer the most powerful test. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Bharati Kumar , Jonathan W. Bartlett

Non-proportional hazards (NPH) have been observed recently in many immuno-oncology clinical trials. Weighted log-rank tests (WLRT) with suitably chosen weights can be used to improve the power of detecting the difference of the two survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Lili Wang , Xiaodong Luo , Cheng Zheng

The one-sample log-rank test is the method of choice for single-arm Phase II trials with time-to-event endpoint. It allows to compare the survival of the patients to a reference survival curve that typically represents the expected survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Jannik Feld , Moritz Fabian Danzer , Andreas Faldum , Rene Schmidt

Prior-weighted logistic regression has become a standard tool for calibration in speaker recognition. Logistic regression is the optimization of the expected value of the logarithmic scoring rule. We generalize this via a parametric family…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-31 Niko Brümmer , George Doddington

Time-to-event endpoints show an increasing popularity in phase II cancer trials. The standard statistical tool for such one-armed survival trials is the one-sample log-rank test. Its distributional properties are commonly derived in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Andreas Faldum , Rene Schmidt

In confirmatory clinical trials, survival outcomes are frequently studied and interim analyses for efficacy and/or futility are often desirable. Methods such as the log rank test and Cox regression model are commonly used to compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Peter Zhang , Brent Logan , Michael Martens

Sequential multiple assignment randomized trials mimic the actual treatment processes experienced by physicians and patients in clinical settings and inform the comparative effectiveness of dynamic treatment regimes. In such trials,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Zi Wang , Yu Cheng , Abdus S. Wahed

It is of special importance in the clinical trial to compare survival times between the treatment group and the control group. Propensity score methods with a logistic regression model are often used to reduce the effects of confounders.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Tomoya Baba , Nakahiro Yoshida

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) is the mean survival time in the study population followed up to a specific time point, and is simply the area under the survival curve up to the specific time point. The difference between two RMSTs…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-18 Peter Zhang , Brent Logan , Michael Martens

A common feature of many recent trials evaluating the effects of immunotherapy on survival is that non-proportional hazards can be anticipated at the design stage. This raises the possibility to use a statistical method tailored towards…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Dominic Magirr , José L. Jiménez

We present a method for estimating the correlation between log-rank test statistics evaluating separate null hypotheses for two time-to-event endpoints. The correlation is estimated using subject-level data by a non-parametric approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Anne Lyngholm Soerensen , Paul Blanche , Henrik Ravn , Christian Pipper

Delayed separation of survival curves is a common occurrence in confirmatory studies in immuno-oncology. Many novel statistical methods that aim to efficiently capture potential long-term survival improvements have been proposed in recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Dominic Magirr , José L. Jiménez
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