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The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

Central limit theorems (CLTs) have a long history in probability and statistics. They play a fundamental role in constructing valid statistical inference procedures. Over the last century, various techniques have been developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arisina Banerjee , Arun K Kuchibhotla

Approximating the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem with Gaussian mixtures has been a very popular method since the 1970s. However, the vast majority of such approximations are introduced in an ad-hoc manner without theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-28 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

The paper is devoted to the investigation of Esscher's transform on high dimensional Euclidean spaces in the light of its application to the central limit theorem. With this tool, we explore necessary and sufficient conditions of normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Sergey Bobkov , Friedrich Götze

In this work, we provide a fundamental unified convergence theorem used for deriving expected and almost sure convergence results for a series of stochastic optimization methods. Our unified theorem only requires to verify several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Xiao Li , Andre Milzarek

In this article, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the solution to a one-dimensional stochastic heat equation with random nonlinear term generated by a stationary, ergodic random field. We extend the well-known central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Lu Xu

Majorization-minimization schemes are a broad class of iterative methods targeting general optimization problems, including nonconvex, nonsmooth and stochastic. These algorithms minimize successively a sequence of upper bounds of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Daniela Lupu , Ion Necoara

This paper establishes limit theorems for a class of stochastic hybrid systems (continuous deterministic dynamic coupled with jump Markov processes) in the fluid limit (small jumps at high frequency), thus extending known results for jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-15 K. Pakdaman , M. Thieullen , G. Wainrib

Generalization error bounds are essential for comprehending how well machine learning models work. In this work, we suggest a novel method, i.e., the Auxiliary Distribution Method, that leads to new upper bounds on expected generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Gholamali Aminian , Saeed Masiha , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

Stochastic iterative algorithms, including stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD), are widely utilized for optimization and sampling in large-scale and high-dimensional problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Xiaoyu Wang , Mikolaj J. Kasprzak , Jeffrey Negrea , Solesne Bourguin , Jonathan H. Huggins

We give a new proof of the classical Central Limit Theorem, in the Mallows ($L^r$-Wasserstein) distance. Our proof is elementary in the sense that it does not require complex analysis, but rather makes use of a simple subadditive inequality…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Oliver Johnson , Richard Samworth

In order to characterize the fluctuation between the ergodic limit and the time-averaging estimator of a full discretization in a quantitative way, we establish a central limit theorem for the full discretization of the parabolic stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Tau Zhou

The work concerns about multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems. First of all, we prove an average principle for these systems in the $L^2$ sense. Moreover, a convergence rate is presented. Then we define the nonlinear filtering of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Huijie Qiao , Shengqing Zhu

This work develops algorithms for non-parametric confidence regions for samples from a univariate distribution whose support is a discrete mesh bounded on the left. We generalize the theory of Learned-Miller to preorders over the sample…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-11 George Bissias

Consider throwing $n$ balls at random into $m$ urns, each ball landing in urn $i$ with probability $p_i$. Let $S$ be the resulting number of singletons, i.e., urns containing just one ball. We give an error bound for the Kolmogorov distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-23 Mathew D. Penrose

We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

In this paper, we propose and analyze a trust-region model-based algorithm for solving unconstrained stochastic optimization problems. Our framework utilizes random models of an objective function $f(x)$, obtained from stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Ruobing Chen , Matt Menickelly , Katya Scheinberg

We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

The problem of convergence of moments of a sequence of random variables to the moments of its asymptotic distribution is important in many applications. These include the determination of the optimal training sample size in the cross…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Georgios Afendras , Marianthi Markatou