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We utilize neural network embeddings to detect data drift by formulating the drift detection within an appropriate sequential decision framework. This enables control of the false alarm rate although the statistical tests are repeatedly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Samuel Ackerman , Parijat Dube , Eitan Farchi

With today's abundant streams of data, the only constant we can rely on is change. For stream classification algorithms, it is necessary to adapt to concept drift. This can be achieved by monitoring the model error, and triggering counter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Lukas Fleckenstein , Sebastian Kauschke , Johannes Fürnkranz

The total entropy production generated by the dynamics of an externally driven systems exchanging energy and matter with multiple reservoirs and described by a master equation is expressed as the sum of three contributions, each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-03-01 Massimiliano Esposito , Upendra Harbola , Shaul Mukamel

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

Models based on preferential attachment have had much success in reproducing the power law degree distributions which seem ubiquitous in both natural and engineered systems. Here, rather than assuming preferential attachment, we give an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Berger , C. Borgs , J. T. Chayes , R. M. D'Souza , R. D. Kleinberg

The celebrated Evans-Searles, respectively Gallavotti-Cohen, fluctuation theorem concerns certain universal statistical features of the entropy production rate of a classical system in a transient, respectively steady, state. In this paper,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-08-05 T. Benoist , L. Bruneau , V. Jakšić , A. Panati , C. -A. Pillet

Starting from an important research path, we consider gravity as a collective phenomenon governed by statistical mechanics. While previous studies have focussed on the thermodynamic heat flow across a 2d-horizon as perceived by a single,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-04-12 Pierre A Mandrin

Inference of causality is central in nonlinear time series analysis and science in general. A popular approach to infer causality between two processes is to measure the information flow between them in terms of transfer entropy. Using…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-04-16 Jie Sun , Erik M. Bollt

Drift theory is an intuitive tool for reasoning about random processes: It allows turning expected stepwise changes into expected first-hitting times. While drift theory is used extensively by the community studying randomized search…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Andreas Göbel , Timo Kötzing , Martin S. Krejca

We investigate the breakdown of disordered networks under the action of an increasing external---mechanical or electrical---force. We perform a mean-field analysis and estimate scaling exponents for the approach to the instability. By…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Stefano Zapperi , Purusattam Ray , H. Eugene Stanley , Alessandro Vespignani

There exists a large body of work on online drift detection with the goal of dynamically finding and maintaining changes in data streams. In this paper, we adopt a query-based approach to drift detection. Our approach relies on {\em a drift…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-05-16 Sofia Kleisarchaki , Sihem Amer-Yahia , Ahlame Douzal-Chouakria , Vassilis Christophides

Entropy has emerged as a dynamic, interdisciplinary, and widely accepted quantitative measure of uncertainty across different disciplines. A unified understanding of entropy measures, supported by a detailed review of their theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Naveen Kumar , Ambesh Dixit , Vivek Vijay

Recently several authors have proposed stochastic evolutionary models for the growth of complex networks that give rise to power-law distributions. These models are based on the notion of preferential attachment leading to the ``rich get…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

We investigate the probability of observing a given pattern of $n$ rises and falls in a random stationary data series. The data are modelled as a sequence of $n+1$ independent and identically distributed random numbers. This probabilistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-04-29 J M Luck

We construct a Bayesian sequential test of two simple hypotheses about the value of the unobservable drift coefficient of a Brownian motion, with a possibility to change the initial decision at subsequent moments of time for some penalty.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Natural phenomena frequently involve a very large number of interacting molecules moving in confined regions of space. Cellular transport by motor proteins is an example of such collective behavior. We derive a deterministic compartmental…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-01 Yoram Zarai , Michael Margaliot , Anatoly B. Kolomeisky

We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time-series data.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Federico A. Bugni , Jia Li , Qiyuan Li

One important assumption underlying common classification models is the stationarity of the data. However, in real-world streaming applications, the data concept indicated by the joint distribution of feature and label is not stationary but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-10 Shujian Yu , Xiaoyang Wang , Jose C. Principe

This research proposes a novel drift detection methodology for machine learning (ML) models based on the concept of ''deformation'' in the vector space representation of data. Recognizing that new data can act as forces stretching,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Giancarlo Cobino , Simone Farci

We study the positive recurrence of multi-dimensional birth-and-death processes describing the evolution of a large class of stochastic systems, a typical example being the randomly varying number of flow-level transfers in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-02 M. Jonckheere , S. Shneer
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