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Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We consider an evolution operator for a discrete Langevin equation with a strongly hyperbolic classical dynamics and noise with finite moments. Using a perturbative expansion of the evolution operator we calculate high order corrections to…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Niels Sondergaard , Gabor Vattay , Gergely Palla , Andre Voros

We consider a Preconditioned Overdamped Langevin algorithm that does not alter the invariant distribution (up to controllable discretisation errors) and ask whether preconditioning improves the standard model in terms of reducing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Houssam AlRachid , Letif Mones , Christoph Ortner

We analyze the posterior contraction rates of parameters in Bayesian models via the Langevin diffusion process, in particular by controlling moments of the stochastic process and taking limits. Analogous to the non-asymptotic analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Wenlong Mou , Nhat Ho , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

We show that the posterior distribution of parameters in a hidden Markov model with parametric emission distributions and discrete and known state space is asymptotically normal. The main novelty of our proof is that it is based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Chunlei Wang , Sanvesh Srivastava

We study the distribution of the exponential functional $I(\xi,\eta)=\int_0^{\infty} \exp(\xi_{t-}) \d \eta_t$, where $\xi$ and $\eta$ are independent L\'evy processes. In the general setting using the theories of Markov processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 A. Kuznetsov , J. C. Pardo , M. Savov

Automata expressiveness is an essential feature in understanding which of the formalisms available should be chosen for modelling a particular problem. Probabilistic and stochastic automata are suitable for modelling systems exhibiting…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Valentin Bura , Tim French , Mark Reynolds

New asymptotic approximations of the non-central $t$ distribution are given, a generalization of the Student's $t$ distribution. Using new integral representations, we give new asymptotic expansions for large values of the noncentrality…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M Temme

We establish asymptotic expansions for factorial moments of following distributions: number of cycles in a random permutation, number of inversions in a random permutation, and number of comparisons used by the randomized quick sort…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Sumit Kumar Jha

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

We introduce a Langevin equation characterized by a time dependent drift. By assuming a temporal power-law dependence of the drift we show that a great variety of behavior is observed in the dynamics of the variance of the process. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Given data generated by an observable stochastic process, we study how to construct statistically optimal decisions for general stochastic optimization problems. Our setting encompasses non-standard data structures, including data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Radek Salač , Michael Kupper , Tobias Sutter

Classical mathematical statistics deals with models that are parametrized by a Euclidean, i.e. finite dimensional, parameter. Quite often such models have been and still are chosen in practical situations for their mathematical simplicity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Chris A. J. Klaassen

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

The factorization problem of $q$-exponential distribution within nonextensive statistical mechanics is discussed on the basis of Abe's general pseudoadditivity for equilibrium systems. it is argued that the factorization of compound…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Qiuping A. Wang

Asymptotic formulae are established for the number of natural numbers $m$ with largest square-free divisor not exceeding $m^{\vartheta}$, for any fixed positive parameter $\vartheta$. Related counting functions are also considered.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Jörg Brüdern , Olivier Robert

A continuous approximation for the results of [1] is obtained. In this approximation the energy distribution is represented in the form of the product of the Gibbs factor and superstatistics factor. The mutual weights of the factors are…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of supremum distribution of some classes of iterated stochastic processes $\{X(Y(t)) : t \in [0, \infty)\}$, where $\{X(t) : t \in \mathbb{R} \}$ is a centered Gaussian process and $\{Y(t): t…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Marek Arendarczyk

At non-zero temperature classical systems exhibit statistical fluctuations of thermodynamic quantities arising from the variation of the system's initial conditions and its interaction with the environment. The fluctuating work, for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-02-07 Rui Sampaio , Samu Suomela , Tapio Ala-Nissila , Janet Anders , Thomas Philbin

Probability distributions of the magnetic work are computed for the 2D Ising model by means of Monte Carlo simulations. The system is first prepared at equilibrium for three temperatures below, at and above the critical point. A magnetic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Christophe Chatelain , Dragi Karevski