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In this article we recover the distribution function (and possible density) of an arbitrary random variable that is subject to an additive measurement error. This problem is also known as deconvolution and has a long tradition in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Henrik Kaiser

The choice of tuning parameters in Bayesian variable selection is a critical problem in modern statistics. In particular, for Bayesian linear regression with non-local priors, the scale parameter in the non-local prior density is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Xuan Cao , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

Meta-learning aims to leverage information across related tasks to improve prediction on unlabeled data for new tasks when only a small number of labeled observations are available ("few-shot" learning). Increased task diversity is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-16 Saptati Datta , Nicolas W. Hengartner , Yulia Pimonova , Natalie E. Klein , Nicholas Lubbers

Publication selection bias undermines the systematic accumulation of evidence. To assess the extent of this problem, we survey over 68,000 meta-analyses containing over 700,000 effect size estimates from medicine (67,386/597,699),…

Probabilistic Regression refers to predicting a full probability density function for the target conditional on the features. We present a nonparametric approach to this problem which combines base classifiers (typically gradient boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Brian Lucena

Current deep neural networks (DNNs) can easily overfit to biased training data with corrupted labels or class imbalance. Sample re-weighting strategy is commonly used to alleviate this issue by designing a weighting function mapping from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Jun Shu , Qi Xie , Lixuan Yi , Qian Zhao , Sanping Zhou , Zongben Xu , Deyu Meng

We consider the problem of estimating an arbitrary smooth functional of $k \geq 1 $ distribution functions (d.f.s.) in terms of random samples from them. The natural estimate replaces the d.f.s by their empirical d.f.s. Its bias is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-03 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

Model selection strategies have been routinely employed to determine a model for data analysis in statistics, and further study and inference then often proceed as though the selected model were the true model that were known a priori. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Priyam Mitra , Heng Lian , Ritwik Mitra , Hua Liang , Min-ge Xie

Typical Bayesian inference requires parameter identification via likelihood parameterization, which has invited criticism for being less flexible than the Frequentist framework and subject to misspecification. Though misspecification may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Vivian Y. Meng , David A. Stephens

Unbiased Learning to Rank (ULTR) that learns to rank documents with biased user feedback data is a well-known challenge in information retrieval. Existing methods in unbiased learning to rank typically rely on click modeling or inverse…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Dan Luo , Lixin Zou , Qingyao Ai , Zhiyu Chen , Dawei Yin , Brian D. Davison

We consider the problem of estimating a low-rank matrix from a noisy observed matrix. Previous work has shown that the optimal method depends crucially on the choice of loss function. In this paper, we use a family of weighted loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 William Leeb

Systematic reviews aim to summarize all the available evidence relevant to a particular research question. If appropriate, the data from identified studies are quantitatively combined in a meta-analysis. Often only few studies regarding a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 M. Henmi , S. Hattori , T. Friede

A key problem in the theory of meta-learning is to understand how the task distributions influence transfer risk, the expected error of a meta-learner on a new task drawn from the unknown task distribution. In this paper, focusing on fixed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-15 Mikhail Konobeev , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

Existing Bayesian treatments of neural networks are typically characterized by weak prior and approximate posterior distributions according to which all the weights are drawn independently. Here, we consider a richer prior distribution in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-02 Theofanis Karaletsos , Peter Dayan , Zoubin Ghahramani

Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio , Timothé Krauth

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

Matching a nonprobability sample to a probability sample is one strategy both for selecting the nonprobability units and for weighting them. This approach has been employed in the past to select subsamples of persons from a large panel of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Zhan Liu , Richard Valliant

The unmatched ability of Deep Neural Networks in capturing complex patterns in large and noisy datasets is often associated with their large hypothesis space, and consequently to the vast amount of parameters that characterize model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Enrico Ballini , Luca Muscarnera , Alessio Fumagalli , Anna Scotti , Francesco Regazzoni