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The robust Poisson method is becoming increasingly popular when estimating the association of exposures with a binary outcome. Unlike the logistic regression model, the robust Poisson method yields results that can be interpreted as risk or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Denis Talbot , Miceline Mésidor , Yohann Chiu , Marc Simard , Caroline Sirois

We derive normal approximation results for a class of stabilizing functionals of binomial or Poisson point process, that are not necessarily expressible as sums of certain score functions. Our approach is based on a flexible notion of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Zhaoyang Shi , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Wolfgang Polonik

We obtain Stein approximation bounds for stochastic integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure over ${\Bbb R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. This approach relies on third cumulant Edgeworth-type expansions based on derivation operators defined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Nicolas Privault

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Let $(X_{i}, i\in J)$ be a family of locally dependent nonnegative integer-valued random variables, and consider the sum $W=\sum\nolimits_{i\in J}X_i$. We first establish a general error upper bound for $d_{TV}(W, M)$ using Stein's method,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Zhonggen Su , Vladimir V. Ulyanov , Xiaolin Wang

The problem of finding the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process in a bounded region is addressed. We propose an adaptive importance sampling for solving the problem. In our proposal, we restrict the importance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Hee-Geon Kang , Sunggon Kim

We consider the approximation of the stationary distribution of the finite inclusion process with the Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. Using Stein's method, we derive an explicit bound for the approximation error, which is of order 1/N in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Han L. Gan

We establish efficient approximate counting algorithms for several natural problems in local lemma regimes. In particular, we consider the probability of intersection of events and the dimension of intersection of subspaces. Our approach is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Ryan L. Mann , Gabriel Waite

When expert systems based on causal probabilistic networks (CPNs) reach a certain size and complexity, the "combinatorial explosion monster" tends to be present. We propose an approximation scheme that identifies rarely occurring cases and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Frank Jensen , S. K. Anderson

Donsker Theorem is perhaps the most famous invariance principle result for Markov processes. It states that when properly normalized, a random walk behaves asymptotically like a Brownian motion. This approach can be extended to general…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Eustache Besançon , E Besanç On , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal

Stein's method is used to study discrete representations of multidimensional distributions that arise as approximations of states of quantum harmonic oscillators. These representations model how quantum effects result from the interaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Ian W. McKeague , Yvik Swan

Sums of of 1-dependent integer-valued random variables are approximated by compound Poisson, negative binomial and Binomial distributions and signed compound Poisson measures. Estimates are obtained for total variation and local metrics.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-05 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

We present the Additive Poisson Process (APP), a novel framework that can model the higher-order interaction effects of the intensity functions in stochastic processes using lower dimensional projections. Our model combines the techniques…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-17 Simon Luo , Feng Zhou , Lamiae Azizi , Mahito Sugiyama

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly

We obtain upper bounds for the total variation distance between the distributions of two Gibbs point processes in a very general setting. Applications are provided to various well-known processes and settings from spatial statistics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Dominic Schuhmacher , Kaspar Stucki

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

Stein's method compares probability distributions through the study of a class of linear operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin theoretical statistics, Stein's method has led to…

The article determines the asymptotic shape of the extremal clusters in stationary regularly varying random fields. To deduce this result, we present a general framework for the Poisson approximation of point processes on Polish spaces…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinić

[B{\l}aszczyszyn, Yogeshwaran and Yukich (2019)] established central limit theorems for geometric statistics of point processes having fast decay dependence. As limit theorems are of limited use unless we understand their errors involved in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia
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