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Related papers: A Random Matrix Approach to Credit Risk

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Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees for controlling the expected loss at a user-specified level. Existing theory typically assumes that the loss decreases monotonically with a tuning parameter that governs the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Tareq Aldirawi , Yun Li , Wenge Guo

Markowitz's optimal portfolio relies on the accurate estimation of correlations between asset returns, a difficult problem when the number of observations is not much larger than the number of assets. Using powerful results from random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-24 Tomas Espana , Victor Le Coz , Matteo Smerlak

We analyze systems of agents sharing light-tailed risky claims issued by different financial objects. Assuming exponentially distributed claims, we obtain that both agents' and system's losses follow generalized exponential mixture…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-22 Claudia Klüppelberg , Miriam Isabel Seifert

Exposure characterization in regional risk assessment aims to assign physical properties to the assets of interest so they can be associated with damage and loss functions. While this process has benefited from the growing availability of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-12 Chenhao Wu , Henry Burton

Since 2008, the network analysis of financial systems is one of the most important subjects in economics. In this paper, we have used the complexity approach and Random Matrix Theory (RMT) for analyzing the global banking network. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-30 Ali Namaki , Jamshid Ardalankia , Reza Raei , Leila Hedayatifar , Ali Hosseiny , Emmanuel Haven , G. Reza Jafari

This work proposes a unified framework for portfolio allocation, covering both asset selection and optimization, based on a multiple-hypothesis predict-then-optimize approach. The portfolio is modeled as a structured ensemble, where each…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez , Muhammad Shahzad , Xia Hong

Random-matrix theory is applied to transition-rate matrices in the Pauli master equation. We study the distribution and correlations of eigenvalues, which govern the dynamics of complex stochastic systems. Both the cases of identical and of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Carsten Timm

In this set of five lectures the authors have presented techniques to analyze open classical and quantum systems using correlation matrices. For diverse reasons we shall see that random matrices play an important role to describe a null…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-02-12 Vinayak , Thomas H. Seligman

We present a brief overview of random matrix theory (RMT) with the objectives of highlighting the computational results and applications in financial markets as complex systems. An oft-encountered problem in computational finance is the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-27 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Kiran Sharma , Anirban Chakraborti , Thomas H. Seligman

The market practice of extrapolating different term structures from different instruments lacks a rigorous justification in terms of cash flows structure and market observables. In this paper, we integrate our previous consistent theory for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-05 Andrea Pallavicini , Damiano Brigo

Markovian credit migration models are a reasonably standard tool nowadays, but there are fundamental difficulties with calibrating them. We show how these are resolved using a simplified form of matrix generator and explain why risk-neutral…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-05 Richard J. Martin

This paper generalizes Moody's correlated binomial default distribution for homogeneous (exchangeable) credit portfolio, which is introduced by Witt, to the case of inhomogeneous portfolios. As inhomogeneous portfolios, we consider two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-31 S. Mori , K. Kitsukawa , M. Hisakado

Correlations between random variables play an important role in applications, e.g.\ in financial analysis. More precisely, accurate estimates of the correlation between financial returns are crucial in portfolio management. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-31 Pedro Galeano , Dominik Wied

Motivated by the importance ascribed to correlations in random matrices used to model phenomena in various scientific disciplines, we report how algebraic correlations between matrix elements affect the eigenvalue statistics and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-27 Abbas Ali Saberi , Roderich Moessner

Longitudinal studies are often conducted to explore the cohort and age effects in many scientific areas. The within cluster correlation structure plays a very important role in longitudinal data analysis. This is because not only can an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Yan Sun , Wenyang Zhang , Howell Tong

This paper introduces and studies factor risk measures. While risk measures only rely on the distribution of a loss random variable, in many cases risk needs to be measured relative to some major factors. In this paper, we introduce a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-15 Hirbod Assa , Peng Liu

Financial correlation matrices measure the unsystematic correlations between stocks. Such information is important for risk management. The correlation matrices are known to be ``noise dressed''. We develop a new and alternative method to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Thomas Guhr , Bernd Kaelber

Portfolio optimization has long been dominated by covariance-based strategies, such as the Markowitz Mean-Variance framework. However, these approaches often fail to ensure a balanced risk structure across assets, leading to concentration…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-07 Biswarup Chakraborty

The properties of q-dependent cross-correlation matrices of stock market have been analyzed by using the random matrix theory and complex network. The correlation structures of the fluctuations at different magnitudes have unique…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Longfeng Zhao , Wei Li , Andrea Fenu , Boris Podobnik , Yougui Wang , H. Eugene Stanley

We use a replica approach to deal with portfolio optimization problems. A given risk measure is minimized using empirical estimates of asset values correlations. We study the phase transition which happens when the time series is too short…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Stefano Ciliberti , Marc Mezard