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Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

We consider a class of systems with time-varying parameters, which are written as linear regressions with bounded disturbances. The task is to estimate such parameters under the condition that the regressor is finitely exciting (FE).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-24 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

This paper studies the threshold estimation of a TAR model when the underlying threshold parameter is a random variable. It is shown that the Bayesian estimator is consistent and its limit distribution is expressed in terms of a limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-22 Ngai Hang Chan , Yury A. Kutoyants

We propose a parametrization of autoregressive unit roots ARMA models (ARUMA) with partial autocorrelation coefficients to specify the autoregressive and integrated part of the model. We obtain the algebraic properties of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Jamie Halliday , Georgi N. Boshnakov

In this paper, we develop a restricted eigenvalue condition for unit-root non-stationary data and derive its validity under the assumption of independent Gaussian innovations that may be contemporaneously correlated. The method of proof…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Etienne Wijler

Consider a first-order autoregressive process $X_i=\beta X_{i-1}+\varepsilon_i,$ where $\varepsilon_i=G(\eta_i,\eta_{i-1},\ldots)$ and $\eta_i,i\in\mathbb{Z}$ are i.i.d. random variables. Motivated by two important issues for the inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Ngai Hang Chan , Rongmao Zhang

In this paper, we study parabolic equations in divergence form with coefficients that are singular degenerate as some Muckenhoupt weight functions in one spatial variable. Under certain conditions, weighted reverse H\"{o}lder's inequalities…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Hongjie Dong , Tuoc Phan

We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a "space switching" in the situation, when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non Gaussian, probability density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Pavel Chigansky , Yury Kutoyants

A key challenge in environmental health research is unmeasured spatial confounding, driven by unobserved spatially structured variables that influence both treatment and outcome. A common approach is to fit a spatial regression that models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Sophie M. Woodward , Francesca Dominici , Jose R. Zubizarreta

We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-09 Alessio Sancetta

We study both divergence and non-divergence form parabolic and elliptic equations in the half space $\{x_d>0\}$ whose coefficients are the product of $x_d^\alpha$ and uniformly nondegenerate bounded measurable matrix-valued functions, where…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-10 Hongjie Dong , Tuoc Phan

We propose a new class of spatio-temporal models with unknown and banded autoregressive coefficient matrices. The setting represents a sparse structure for high-dimensional spatial panel dynamic models when panel members represent economic…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Yingying Ma , Hansheng Wang , Qiwei Yao

Contemporary time series analysis has seen more and more tensor type data, from many fields. For example, stocks can be grouped according to Size, Book-to-Market ratio, and Operating Profitability, leading to a 3-way tensor observation at…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-05 Zebang Li , Han Xiao

Matrix-variate time series data are increasingly popular in economics, statistics, and environmental studies, among other fields. This paper develops regularized estimation methods for analyzing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Hangjin Jiang , Baining Shen , Yuzhou Li , Zhaoxing Gao

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

This work presents a Bayesian approach for the estimation of Beta Autoregressive Moving Average ($\beta$ARMA) models. We discuss standard choice for the prior distributions and employ a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Aline Foerster Grande , Guilherme Pumi , Gabriela Bettella Cybis

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Beth Andrews , Matthew Calder , Richard A. Davis

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

In this paper we propose a semiparametric spatial autoregressive model that combines a linear covariate component with a nonparametrically estimated spatial term, allowing flexible dependence modeling without restrictive covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Mariel Lovatto

Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-11 Alexander Mayer