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Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Based on the theory of stochastic chemical kinetics, the inherent randomness and stochasticity of biochemical reaction networks can be accurately described by discrete-state continuous-time Markov chains. The analysis of such processes is,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Andreychenko Alexander , Mikeev Linar , Wolf Verena

We present a principled approach for estimating the matrix of microscopic rates among states of a Markov process, given only its stationary state population distribution and a single average global kinetic observable. We adapt Maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-17 Purushottam D. Dixit , Ken A. Dill

Inferring parameters of models of biochemical kinetics from single-cell data remains challenging because of the uncertainty arising from the intractability of the likelihood function of stochastic reaction networks. Such uncertainty falls…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Zekai Li , Mauricio Barahona , Philipp Thomas

We present a new method for statistical verification of quantitative properties over a partially unknown system with actions, utilising a parameterised model (in this work, a parametric Markov decision process) and data collected from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Elizabeth Polgreen , Viraj Wijesuriya , Sofie Haesaert , Alessandro Abate

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

We address the problem of estimating unknown model parameters and state variables in stochastic reaction processes when only sparse and noisy measurements are available. Using an asymptotic system size expansion for the backward equation we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-07-02 Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

The development of mechanistic models of biological systems is a central part of Systems Biology. One major task in developing these models is the inference of the correct model parameters. Due to the size of most realistic models and their…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-28 Jan Mikelson , Mustafa Khammash

Parameter fitting of data to a proposed equation almost always consider these parameters as independent variables. Here, the method proposed optimizes an arbitrary number of variables by the minimization of a function of a single variable.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2010-06-15 Christopher G. Jesudason

Ordinary differential equation models have become a standard tool for the mechanistic description of biochemical processes. If parameters are inferred from experimental data, such mechanistic models can provide accurate predictions about…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-12 Fabian Fröhlich , Carolin Loos , Jan Hasenauer

We investigate the potential of numerical algorithms to decipher the kinetic parameters involved in multi-step chemical reactions. To this end we study a dimerization kinetics of protein as a model system. We follow the dimerization…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-12-24 Srijeeta Talukder , Shrabani Sen , Ralf Metzler , Suman K Banik , Pinaki Chaudhury

Fluorescent and luminescent gene reporters allow us to dynamically quantify changes in molecular species concentration over time on the single cell level. The mathematical modeling of their interaction through multivariate dynamical models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-07 Michal Komorowski , Barbel Finkenstadt , Claire V. Harper , David A. Rand

We consider chemical reaction networks modeled by a discrete state and continuous in time Markov process for the vector copy number of the species and provide a novel particle filter method for state and parameter estimation based on exact…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

Chemical reaction networks describe interactions between biochemical species. Once an underlying reaction network is given for a biochemical system, the system dynamics can be modelled with various mathematical frameworks such as continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 German Enciso , Radek Erban , Jinsu Kim

We present an efficient finite difference method for the computation of parameter sensitivities that is applicable to a wide class of continuous time Markov chain models. The estimator for the method is constructed by coupling the perturbed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-05-14 David F. Anderson

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick
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