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We consider a prediction market in which all aspects are controlled by market forces, in particular the correct outcomes of events are decided by the market itself rather than by trusted arbiters. This kind of a decentralized prediction…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Iddo Bentov , Alex Mizrahi , Meni Rosenfeld

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to improve the performance of a process by selectively triggering interventions at runtime (e.g., offering a discount to a customer) to increase the probability of a desired case outcome (e.g., a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

Matching markets are often organized in a multi-stage and decentralized manner. Moreover, participants in real-world matching markets often have uncertain preferences. This article develops a framework for learning optimal strategies in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Xiaowu Dai , Michael I. Jordan

The purpose of Inventory Pricing is to bid the right prices to online ad opportunities, which is crucial for a Demand-Side Platform (DSP) to win advertising auctions in Real-Time Bidding (RTB). In the planning stage, advertisers need the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Xu Li , Michelle Ma Zhang , Youjun Tong , Zhenya Wang

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial market, playing a vital role in wealth accumulation for investors, financing costs for listed companies, and the stable development of the national macroeconomy. Significant…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-28 Jiajian Zheng , Duan Xin , Qishuo Cheng , Miao Tian , Le Yang

Learning-augmented algorithms have received significant attention in recent years, particularly in the context of online optimization. Motivated by the high computational cost of generating predictions, a growing line of work studies the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yongho Shin , Phanu Vajanopath

Despite recent advancements in machine learning, in practice, relevant datasets are often distributed among market competitors who are reluctant to share. To incentivize data sharing, recent works propose analytics markets, where multiple…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Thomas Falconer , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

In this work, we aim to design a data marketplace; a robust real-time matching mechanism to efficiently buy and sell training data for Machine Learning tasks. While the monetization of data and pre-trained models is an essential focus of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Anish Agarwal , Munther Dahleh , Tuhin Sarkar

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

In online advertising, a set of potential advertisements can be ranked by a certain auction system where usually the top-1 advertisement would be selected and displayed at an advertising space. In this paper, we show a selection bias issue…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Shinya Suzumura , Hitoshi Abe

The smart grid vision entails advanced information technology and data analytics to enhance the efficiency, sustainability, and economics of the power grid infrastructure. Aligned to this end, modern statistical learning tools are leveraged…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

The research area of algorithms with predictions has seen recent success showing how to incorporate machine learning into algorithm design to improve performance when the predictions are correct, while retaining worst-case guarantees when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Prediction markets are well-studied in the case where predictions are probabilities or expectations of future random variables. In 2008, Lambert, et al. proposed a generalization, which we call "scoring rule markets" (SRMs), in which…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-29 Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

Neural networks are powerful tools for classification and regression in static environments. This paper describes a technique for creating an ensemble of neural networks that adapts dynamically to changing conditions. The model separates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-12-16 Baruch Lubinsky , Bekir Genc , Tshilidzi Marwala

Uplift is a particular case of individual treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention. In practice, these models are built on customer data who…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Belbahri Mouloud , Gandouet Olivier , Kazma Ghaith

In online advertising markets, budget-constrained advertisers acquire ad placements through repeated bidding in auctions on various platforms. We present a strategy for bidding optimally in a set of auctions that may or may not be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Fransisca Susan , Negin Golrezaei , Okke Schrijvers

With the recent rise of generative Artificial Intelligence (AI), the need of selecting high-quality dataset to improve machine learning models has garnered increasing attention. However, some part of this topic remains underexplored, even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Kyung Rok Kim , Yansong Wang , Xiaocheng Li , Guanting Chen

We introduce a new class of combinatorial markets in which agents have covering constraints over resources required and are interested in delay minimization. Our market model is applicable to several settings including scheduling, cloud…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-17 Nikhil Devanur , Jugal Garg , Ruta Mehta , Vijay V. Vazirani , Sadra Yazdanbod
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