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Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-01 Mark Huber

Testing hypothesis of independence between two random elements on a joint alphabet is a fundamental exercise in statistics. Pearson's chi-squared test is an effective test for such a situation when the contingency table is relatively small.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

We investigate the credible sets and marginal credible intervals resulting from the horseshoe prior in the sparse multivariate normal means model. We do so in an adaptive setting without assuming knowledge of the sparsity level (number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Stéphanie van der Pas , Botond Szabó , Aad van der Vaart

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Classical frequentist approaches to inference for the lasso emphasize exact coverage for each feature, which requires debiasing and severs the connection between confidence intervals and the original lasso estimates. To address this, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Logan Harris , Patrick Breheny

This essay looks at decision-making with interval-valued probability measures. Existing decision methods have either supplemented expected utility methods with additional criteria of optimality, or have attempted to supplement the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ronald P. Loui

We propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that account for many forms of spatial correlation. The interval has the familiar `estimator plus and minus a standard error times a critical value' form, but we propose new methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Ulrich K. Müller , Mark W. Watson

Suppose the lifetime of a large sample of batteries in routine use is measured. A confidence interval is computed to 394 plus/minus 1.96 times 4.6 days. The standard interpretation is that if we repeatedly draw samples and compute…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2024-02-16 Dan Hedlin

To perform a queuing analysis or design in a communications context, we need to estimate the values of the input parameters, specifically the mean of the arrival rate and service time. In this paper, we propose an approach for estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-26 Xinjia Chen

By employing various empirical estimators for the Mutual Information (MI) measure, we calculate and compare the estimates and their confidence intervals for both normal and non-normal bivariate data samples. We find that certain nonlinear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Theo Grigorenko , Leo Grigorenko

Introduction: estimation of confidence intervals (CIs) of binomial proportions has been reviewed more than once but the directional interpretation, distinguishing the overestimation from the underestimation, was neglected while the sample…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-03-22 André Gillibert , Jacques Bénichou , Bruno Falissard

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

Corrected confidence intervals are developed for the mean of the second component of a bivariate normal process when the first component is being monitored sequentially. This is accomplished by constructing a first approximation to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. C. Weng , D. S. Coad

In this paper, we develop a non-asymptotic local normal approximation for multinomial probabilities. First, we use it to find non-asymptotic total variation bounds between the measures induced by uniformly jittered multinomials and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

A fundamental class of inferential problems are those characterised by there having been a substantial degree of pre-data (or prior) belief that the value of a model parameter was equal or lay close to a specified value, which may, for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-01-26 Russell J. Bowater

Prediction intervals are commonly used in meta-analysis with random-effects models. One widely used method, the Higgins-Thompson-Spiegelhalter prediction interval, replaces the heterogeneity parameter with its point estimate, but its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Kengo Nagashima , Hisashi Noma , Toshi A. Furukawa

In the sparse normal means model, coverage of adaptive Bayesian posterior credible sets associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Ismael Castillo , Botond Szabo

This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about a parameter when a narrow interval centred at a given value of the parameter is considered special, which is interpreted as meaning that there is a substantial degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Russell J. Bowater , Ludmila E. Guzmán-Pantoja

We provide Buehler-optimal one-sided and some valid two-sided confidence intervals for the average success probability of a possibly inhomogeneous fixed length Bernoulli chain, based on the number of observed successes. Contrary to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Lutz Mattner , Christoph Tasto