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We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

We consider the Roe-Woodroofe construction of confidence intervals for the case of a Poisson distributed variate where the mean is the sum of a known background and an unknown non-negative signal. We point out that the intervals do not have…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark Mandelkern , Jonas Schultz

We present a method of constructing statistical intervals that obtain a natural middle ground between Bayesian and frequentist statistical intervals, previously unexplored in literature: To a p% Bayesian credible interval we should assign a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Tim Ritmeester

For linear models with spatial errors, the empirical likelihood ratio statistics are constructed for the parameters of the models. It is shown that the limiting distributions of the empirical likelihood ratio statistics are chi-squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Yongsong Qin

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

In an empirical Bayes analysis, we use data from repeated sampling to imitate inferences made by an oracle Bayesian with extensive knowledge of the data-generating distribution. Existing results provide a comprehensive characterization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Stefan Wager

Confidence intervals for the means of multiple normal populations are often based on a hierarchical normal model. While commonly used interval procedures based on such a model have the nominal coverage rate on average across a population of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

This note is an invited discussion of the article "Confidence Intervals for Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Analysis" by Ignatiadis and Wager. In this discussion, I review some goals of empirical Bayes data analysis and the contribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Peter Hoff

We propose and study three confidence intervals (CIs) centered at an estimator that is intentionally biased to reduce mean squared error. The first CI simply uses an unbiased estimator's standard error; compared to centering at the unbiased…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 David M. Kaplan , Xin Liu

We study exact confidence intervals and two-sided hypothesis tests for univariate parameters of stochastically increasing discrete distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. It is shown that several popular methods for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-03 MÅns Thulin , Silvelyn Zwanzig

In this note we consider coverage of confidence intervals calculated with and without systematic uncertainties. These calculations follow the prescription originally proposed by Cousins & Highland but here extended to account for different…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Conrad , O. Botner , A. Hallgren , C. P. de los Heros

In this article, we derive an explicit formula for computing confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable. Moreover, we have developed multistage point estimation methods for estimating the mean value with prescribed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Xinjia Chen

Small sample sizes in clinical studies arises from factors such as reduced costs, limited subject availability, and the rarity of studied conditions. This creates challenges for accurately calculating confidence intervals (CIs) using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mulan Wu , Mengyu Xu , Dongyun Kim

We construct robust empirical Bayes confidence intervals (EBCIs) in a normal means problem. The intervals are centered at the usual linear empirical Bayes estimator, but use a critical value accounting for shrinkage. Parametric EBCIs that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-22 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

When computing a confidence interval for a binomial proportion p one must choose between using an exact interval, which has a coverage probability of at least 1-{\alpha} for all values of p, and a shorter approximate interval, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for the estimation of a Poisson parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. The exact computation is made possible by reducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Xinjia Chen

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

This paper derives lower bounds for the mean square errors of parameter estimators in the case of Poisson distributed data subjected to multiple abrupt changes. Since both change locations (discrete parameters) and parameters of the Poisson…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Lucien Bacharach , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Alexandre Renaux , Jean-Yves Tourneret

Classically, confidence intervals are required to have consistent coverage across all values of the parameter. However, this will inevitably break down if the underlying estimation procedure is biased. For this reason, many efforts have…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Logan Harris , Patrick Breheny

Well-recommended methods of forming `confidence intervals' for a binomial proportion give interval estimates that do not actually meet the definition of a confidence interval, in that their coverages are sometimes lower than the nominal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Paul H. Garthwaite , Maha W. Moustafa , Fadlalla G. Elfadaly