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Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

We use a functional analogue of the quantile function for probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ to characterize a novel limit Poisson point process for radially recentred and rescaled random vectors under a radial-directional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Lambert de Monte , Ryan Campbell , Haavard Rue

In the setting of dominated statistical models, we provide conditions yielding strong continuity of the posterior distribution with respect to the observed data. We show some applications, with special focus on exponential models.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Emanuele Dolera , Edoardo Mainini

We elaborate on a deconvolution method, used to estimate the empirical distribution of unknown parameters, as suggested recently by Efron (2013). It is applied to estimating the empirical distribution of the 'sampling probabilities' of m…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-20 Eitan Greenshtein , Theodor Itskov

Complex continuous or mixed joint distributions (e.g., P(Y | z_1, z_2, ..., z_N)) generally lack closed-form solutions, often necessitating approximations such as MCMC. This paper proposes Indeterminate Probability Theory (IPT), which makes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Tao Yang , Chuang Liu , Xiaofeng Ma , Weijia Lu , Ning Wu , Bingyang Li , Zhifei Yang , Peng Liu , Lin Sun , Xiaodong Zhang , Can Zhang

The empirical probability density function for the conditional distribution of the true value of Poisson distribution parameter on one measurement is constructed by computer experiment. The analysis of the obtained distributions confirms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 S. I. Bityukov , V. A. Medvedev , V. V. Smirnova , Yu. V. Zernii

We derive a stochastic wave equation for an inflaton in an environment of an infinite number of fields. We study solutions of the linearized stochastic evolution equation in an expanding universe. The Fokker-Planck equation for the inflaton…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2018-07-25 Z. Haba

We develop a general method to quantify the uncertainties of parton distribution functions and their physical predictions, with emphasis on incorporating all relevant experimental constraints. The method uses the Hessian formalism to study…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-12-18 J. Pumplin , D. Stump , R. Brock , D. Casey , J. Huston , J. Kalk , H. L. Lai , W. K. Tung

We use Stein's method to obtain bounds on the rate of convergence for a class of statistics in geometric probability obtained as a sum of contributions from Poisson points which are exponentially stabilizing, i.e. locally determined in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mathew D. Penrose , J. E. Yukich

The multivariate extended skew-normal distribution allows for accommodating raw data which are skewed and heavy tailed, and has at least three appealing statistical properties, namely closure under conditioning, affine transformations, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-19 Mathieu Gerber , Florian Pelgrin

In many applications in statistics and machine learning, the availability of data samples from multiple possibly heterogeneous sources has become increasingly prevalent. On the other hand, in distributionally robust optimization, we seek…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Tim Tsz-Kit Lau , Han Liu

The continuous extension of a discrete random variable is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of multivariate normal copula-based models with discrete margins. Its advantage is that the likelihood can be derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Inverse statistical physics aims at inferring models compatible with a set of empirical averages estimated from a high-dimensional dataset of independently distributed equilibrium configurations of a given system. However, in several…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-12 Edwin Rodriguez Horta , Alejandro Lage , Martin Weigt , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix

Many processes in chemistry and physics take place on timescales that cannot be explored using standard molecular dynamics simulations. This renders the use of enhanced sampling mandatory. Here we introduce an enhanced sampling method that…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-06-12 Jayashrita Debnath , Michele Parrinello

The aim of this paper is to extend Azzalini's method. This extension is done in two stages: consider two dependent and non-identically distributed random variables say $X_1$ and $X_2$; model the dependence between $X_1$ and $X_2$ by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Filippo Domma , Božidar V. Popović , Saralees Nadarajah

The inverse Gaussian distribution (IGD) is a well known and often used probability distribution for which fully reliable numerical algorithms have not been available. Our aim in this article is to develop software for this distribution for…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Göknur Giner , Gordon K. Smyth

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

In this paper, a new natural discrete version of the one parameter polynomial exponential family of distributions have been proposed and studied. The distribution is named as Natural Discrete One Parameter Polynomial Exponential (NDOPPE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Sudhansu S. Maiti , Molay Kumar Ruidas , Sumanta Adhya

The study of the dynamics of the size of a population via mathematical modelling is a problem of interest and widely studied. Traditionally, continuous deterministic methods based on differential equations have been used to deal with this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 J. -C. Cortés , A. Navarro-Quiles , J. -V. Romero , M. -D. Roselló