Related papers: Optimal sequential change-detection for fractional…
This paper solves a Bayes sequential impulse control problem for a diffusion, whose drift has an unobservable parameter with a change point. The partially-observed problem is reformulated into one with full observations, via a change of…
In this paper the solutions $u_{\nu}=u_{\nu}(x,t)$ to fractional diffusion equations of order $0<\nu \leq 2$ are analyzed and interpreted as densities of the composition of various types of stochastic processes. For the fractional equations…
In this paper, we not only propose an new optimal sequential test of sum of logarithmic likelihood ratio (SLR) but also present the CUSUM sequential test (control chart, stopping time) with the observation-adjusted control limits…
We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…
Universal compression algorithms have been studied in the past for sequential change detection, where they have been used to estimate the post-change distribution in the modified version of the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) Test. In this paper, we…
We introduce the stochastic process of incremental multifractional Brownian motion (IMFBM), which locally behaves like fractional Brownian motion with a given local Hurst exponent and diffusivity. When these parameters change as function of…
In this study, we develop a new theory of estimating Hurst parame- ter using conic multivariate adaptive regression splines (CMARS) method. We concentrate on the strong solution of stochastic differentional equations (SDEs) driven by…
The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem, assuming that the duration of change may be finite and unknown. This problem is of importance for many applications, e.g., for signal and image processing where signals appear…
The problem of decentralized sequential change detection is considered, where an abrupt change occurs in an area monitored by a number of sensors; the sensors transmit their data to a fusion center, subject to bandwidth and energy…
We consider the problem of efficient estimation for the drift of fractional Brownian motion $B^H:=(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with hurst parameter $H$ less than 1/2. We also construct superefficient James-Stein type estimators which dominate,…
Motivated by contemporary and rich applications of anomalous diffusion processes we propose a new statistical test for fractional Brownian motion, which is one of the most popular models for anomalous diffusion systems. The test is based on…
We consider the sequential change-point detection problem of detecting changes that are characterized by a subspace structure. Such changes are frequent in high-dimensional streaming data altering the form of the corresponding covariance…
Efficiency of search for randomly distributed targets is a prominent problem in many branches of the sciences. For the stochastic process of L\'evy walks, a specific range of optimal efficiencies was suggested under variation of search…
We study the approximation of stochastic differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. For the mean-square error at a single point we derive the optimal rate of convergence that can be achieved…
In this paper, we study small-time asymptotic behaviors for a class of distribution dependent stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motions with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$ and magnitude $\ep^H$. By building up a…
The field of quickest change detection (QCD) concerns design and analysis of algorithms to estimate in real time the time at which an important event takes place and identify properties of the post-change behavior. The goal is to devise a…
This paper addresses the problem of detecting changes when only unnormalized pre- and post-change distributions are accessible. This situation happens in many scenarios in physics such as in ferromagnetism, crystallography,…
Classical quickest change detection algorithms require modeling pre-change and post-change distributions. Such an approach may not be feasible for various machine learning models because of the complexity of computing the explicit…
We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…
We investigate the Local Asymptotic Property for fractional Brownian models based on discrete observations contaminated by a Gaussian moving average process. We consider both situations of low and high-frequency observations in a unified…