Related papers: Construction of Ito model for Geoelectrical Signal…
We consider a toy model of two kinetically coupled stochastic oscillators whose dynamics is described as a Markov jump process among $N$ discrete phase states. For large $N$, it maps onto the deterministic two-oscillator Kuramoto model of…
The purpose of this paper is to establish asymptotic behaviors of time-inhomogeneous multi-scale stochastic differential equations (SDEs). To achieve them, we analyze the evolution system of measures for time-inhomogeneous Markov…
The article presents a new perspective on the isomorphism problem for non-ergodic measure-preserving dynamical systems with discrete spectrum which is based on the connection between ergodic theory and topological dynamics constituted by…
Consider a continuous time particle system $\eta^t=(\eta^t(k),k\in \mathbb{L})$, indexed by a lattice $\mathbb{L}$ which will be either $\mathbb{Z}$, $\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}$, a segment $\{1,\cdots, n\}$, or $\mathbb{Z}^d$, and taking its…
Using time-reversal, we introduce a stochastic integral for zero-energy additive functionals of symmetric Markov processes, extending earlier work of S. Nakao. Various properties of such stochastic integrals are discussed and an It\^{o}…
Aiming to generate realistic synthetic times series of the bivariate process of daily mean temperature and precipitations, we introduce a non-homogeneous hidden Markov model. The non-homogeneity lies in periodic transition probabilities…
In order to reach the supply/demand balance, electricity providers need to predict the demand and production of electricity at different time scales. This implies the need of modeling weather variables such as temperature, wind speed, solar…
In these lecture notes, we explore the mathematical preliminaries and foundational concepts that connect stochastic processes with partial differential equations. We begin by investigating Brownian motion, which serves as a model for random…
A comparison principle for stochastic integro-differential equations driven by Levy processes is proved. This result is obtained via an extension of an Ito formula from [11] for the square of the norm of the positive part of $L_2-$valued,…
The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…
We derive the stochastic 2D vortex model on the whole Euclidean space from moderately interacting particle systems driven by individual and environmental noises, obtaining quantitative estimates in the sense of the entropy and energy…
Stochastic differential equations characterized by uncertainty are effective in modelling virus dynamics and provide an alternative to traditional deterministic models. Epidemic models are inevitably subjected to the randomness within the…
We consider Aerosol Index (AI) time-series extracted from TOMS archive for an area covering Italy $(7-18^o E ; 36-47^o N)$. The missing of convergence in estimating the embedding dimension of the system and the inability of the Independent…
We estimate nonparametrically the spatially varying diffusivity of a stochastic heat equation from observations perturbed by additional noise. To that end, we employ a two-step localization procedure, more precisely, we combine local state…
The installation of wireless technologies in power substations requires characterizing the impulsive noise produced by the high-voltage equipment. Substation impulsive noise might interfere with classic wireless communications and none of…
We derive an Ito-type change-of-variables formula for Volterra Gaussian processes (including fractional Brownian motion with any Hurst parameter), based on the operator factorization framework. The Ito correction is expressed as a Stieltjes…
Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…
The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…
We consider an Ito stochastic differential equation with delay, driven by brownian motion, whose solution, by an appropriate reformulation, defines a Markov process $X$ with values in a space of continuous functions $\mathbf C$, with…
Recently, a class of stochastic processes known as piecewise deterministic Markov processes has been used to define continuous-time Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms with a number of attractive properties, including compatibility with…