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Related papers: Multivariate GARCH estimation via a Bregman-proxim…

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This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Contact variability, sensing uncertainty, and external disturbances make grasp execution stochastic. Expected-quality objectives ignore tail outcomes and often select grasps that fail under adverse contact realizations. Risk-sensitive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Clinton Enwerem , Shreya Kalyanaraman , John S. Baras , Calin Belta

In this paper, we study nonconvex constrained stochastic zeroth-order optimization problems, for which we have access to exact information of constraints and noisy function values of the objective. We propose a Bregman linearized augmented…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Qiankun Shi , Xiao Wang , Hao Wang

A general class of time-varying regression models is considered in this paper. We estimate the regression coefficients by using local linear M-estimation. For these estimators, weak Bahadur representations are obtained and are used to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Sayar Karmakar , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu

Multivariate generalized Gamma convolutions are distributions defined by a convolutional semi-parametric structure. Their flexible dependence structures, the marginal possibilities and their useful convolutional expression make them…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Oskar Laverny

This paper deals with the dynamic factor analysis problem for an ARMA process. To robustly estimate the number of factors, we construct a confidence region centered in a finite sample estimate of the underlying model which contains the true…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Lucia Falconi , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

This paper proposes an innovative threshold measurement equation to be employed in a Realized-GARCH framework. The proposed framework incorporates a nonlinear threshold regression specification to consider the leverage effect and model the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-01 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach

We study the fundamental problem of high-dimensional mean estimation in a robust model where a constant fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

Gaussian processes are popular and flexible models for spatial, temporal, and functional data, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. We discuss Gaussian-process approximations that use basis functions at multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Wenlong Gong

We propose a new randomized method for solving systems of nonlinear equations, which can find sparse solutions or solutions under certain simple constraints. The scheme only takes gradients of component functions and uses Bregman…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Robert Gower , Dirk A. Lorenz , Maximilian Winkler

This survey reviews the existing literature on the most relevant Bayesian inference methods for univariate and multivariate GARCH models. The advantages and drawbacks of each procedure are outlined as well as the advantages of the Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Audronė Virbickaitė , M. Concepción Ausín , Pedro Galeano

Density functional theory calculations use a significant fraction of current supercomputing time. The resources required scale with the problem size, internal workings of the code and the number of iterations to convergence, the latter…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-22 Laurence Marks

It has become increasingly easy nowadays to collect approximate posterior samples via fast algorithms such as variational Bayes, but concerns exist about the estimation accuracy. It is tempting to build solutions that exploit approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-17 Leo L. Duan , Anirban Bhattacharya

Simultaneous inference for high-dimensional non-Gaussian time series is always considered to be a challenging problem. Such tasks require not only robust estimation of the coefficients in the random process, but also deriving limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

We develop a non-parametric multivariate time series model that remains agnostic on the precise relationship between a (possibly) large set of macroeconomic time series and their lagged values. The main building block of our model is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-07 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Nico Petz

Studies often estimate associations between an outcome and multiple variates. For example, studies of diagnostic test accuracy estimate sensitivity and specificity, and studies of predictive and prognostic factors typically estimate…

Nonparametric methods have been very popular in the last couple of decades in time series and regression, but no such development has taken place for spatial models. A rather obvious reason for this is the curse of dimensionality. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jiti Gao , Zudi Lu , Dag Tjøstheim

We consider the problem of estimating the inverse covariance matrix by maximizing the likelihood function with a penalty added to encourage the sparsity of the resulting matrix. We propose a new approach based on the split Bregman method to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-17 Gui-Bo Ye , Jian-Feng Cai , Xiaohui Xie