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New theorems for the moments of the first passage time of one dimensional nonlinear stochastic processes with an entrance boundary are formulated. This important class of one dimensional stochastic processes results among others from…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Leo Dostal , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

We consider exit problems for general L\'evy processes, where the first passage over a threshold is detected either immediately or at an epoch of an independent homogeneous Poisson process. It is shown that the two corresponding one-sided…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-16 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various L\'evy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for L\'evy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Tomasz Grzywny

The potential applications of boundary functionals of random processes, such as the extreme values of these processes, the moment of first reaching a fixed level, the value of the process at the moment of reaching the level, the moment of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-15 V. V. Ryazanov

Variational formulas for the Laplace transform of the exit time from an open set of a Hunt process generated by a regular lower bounded semi-Dirichlet form are established. While for symmetric Markov processes, variational formulas are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Kyung-Youn Kim , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

For spectrally negative L\'evy processes, we prove several fluctuation results involving a general draw-down time, which is a downward exit time from a dynamic level that depends on the running maximum of the process. In particular, we find…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Bo Li , Nhat Linh Vu , Xiaowen Zhou

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

The first-passage problem of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to a boundary is a long-standing problem with no known closed-form solution except in specific cases. Taking this as a starting-point, and extending to a general mean-reverting…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-02-27 R. J. Martin , M. J. Kearney , R. V. Craster

We introduce and investigate the escape problem for random walkers that may eventually die, decay, bleach, or lose activity during their diffusion towards an escape or reactive region on the boundary of a confining domain. In the case of a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov , J. -F. Rupprecht

Our first result concerns a characterisation by means of a functional equation of Poisson point processes conditioned by the value of their first moment. It leads to a generalised version of Mecke's formula. En passant, it also allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Giovanni Conforti , Tetiana Kosenkova , Sylvie Roelly

We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

In this paper we find the Laplace transforms of the weighted occupation times for a spectrally negative L\'evy surplus process to spend below its running maximum up to the first exit times. The results are expressed in terms of generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-11 Bo Li , Yun Hua , Xiaowen Zhou

For a spectrally negative L\'evy process, scale functions appear in the solution of two-sided exit problems, and in particular in relation with the Laplace transform of the first time it exits a closed interval. In this paper, we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jesús Contreras , Victor Rivero

Making use of a Rice-like series expansion, for a class of stationary Gaussian processes the asymptotic behavior of the first passage time probability density function through certain time-varying boundaries, including periodic boundaries,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Di Nardo , A. G. Nobile , E. Pirozzi , L. M. Ricciardi

Recently a general growth curve including the well known growth equations, such as Malthus, logistic, Bertallanfy, Gompertz, has been studied. We now propose two stochastic formulations of this growth equation. They are obtained starting…

Many problems in physics, biology, and economics depend upon the duration of time required for a diffusing particle to cross a boundary. As such, calculations of the distribution of first passage time, and in particular the mean first…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Matthew J Simpson , Daniel J Vandenheuvel , Joshua M Wilson , Scott W McCue , Elliot J Carr

Systems switching between different dynamical phases is an ubiquitous phenomenon. The general understanding of such a process is limited. To this end, we present a general expression that captures fluctuations of a system exhibiting a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-05 Ion Santra , Kristian Stølevik Olsen , Deepak Gupta

The mean first exit (passage) time characterizes the average time of a stochastic process never leaving a fixed region in the state space, while the escape probability describes the likelihood of a transition from one region to another for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Weihua Deng , Xiaochao Wu , Wanli Wang

We study the exit time $\tau=\tau_{(0,\infty)}$ for 1-dimensional strictly stable processes and express its Laplace transform at $t^\alpha$ as the Laplace transform of a positive random variable with explicit density. Consequently, $\tau$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Piotr Graczyk , Tomasz Jakubowski