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Probability trees are one of the simplest models of causal generative processes. They possess clean semantics and -- unlike causal Bayesian networks -- they can represent context-specific causal dependencies, which are necessary for e.g.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Tim Genewein , Tom McGrath , Grégoire Déletang , Vladimir Mikulik , Miljan Martic , Shane Legg , Pedro A. Ortega

We provide finite sample guarantees for the classical Chow-Liu algorithm (IEEE Trans.~Inform.~Theory, 1968) to learn a tree-structured graphical model of a distribution. For a distribution $P$ on $\Sigma^n$ and a tree $T$ on $n$ nodes, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Sutanu Gayen , Eric Price , N. V. Vinodchandran

We develop optimal algorithms for learning undirected Gaussian trees and directed Gaussian polytrees from data. We consider both problems of distribution learning (i.e. in KL distance) and structure learning (i.e. exact recovery). The first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Yuhao Wang , Ming Gao , Wai Ming Tai , Bryon Aragam , Arnab Bhattacharyya

Poly-trees are singly connected causal networks in which variables may arise from multiple causes. This paper develops a method of recovering ply-trees from empirically measured probability distributions of pairs of variables. The method…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 George Rebane , Judea Pearl

Causal inference is essential for data-driven decision-making, as it aims to uncover causal relationships from observational data. However, identifying causality remains challenging due to the potential for confounding and the distinction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

A learning algorithm is presented which given the structure of a causal tree, will estimate its link probabilities by sequential measurements on the leaves only. Internal nodes of the tree represent conceptual (hidden) variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Igor Roizer , Judea Pearl

The past two decades have seen a growing interest in combining causal information, commonly represented using causal graphs, with machine learning models. Probability trees provide a simple yet powerful alternative representation of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Tue Herlau

Causal discovery algorithms aim at untangling complex causal relationships from data. Here, we study causal discovery and inference methods based on staged tree models, which can represent complex and asymmetric causal relationships between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

We consider the problem of learning underlying tree structure from noisy, mixed data obtained from a linear model. To achieve this, we use the expectation maximization algorithm combined with Chow-Liu minimum spanning tree algorithm. This…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-06 Navid Tafaghodi Khajavi

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

This paper considers the $\varepsilon$-differentially private (DP) release of an approximate cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the samples in a dataset. We assume that the true (approximate) CDF is obtained after lumping the data…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-07 V. Arvind Rameshwar , Anshoo Tandon , Abhay Sharma

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

The connection between the maximum spanning tree in a directed graph and the best dependency tree of a sentence has been exploited by the NLP community. However, for many dependency parsing schemes, an important detail of this approach is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Ran Zmigrod , Tim Vieira , Ryan Cotterell

The recursive and hierarchical structure of full rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. In most of these cases, the full rooted tree is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

This work introduces a method for fitting to the degree distributions of complex network datasets, such that the most appropriate distribution from a set of candidate distributions is chosen while maximizing the portion of the distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-09 Shane Mannion , Pádraig MacCarron

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

The most fundamental problem in statistical causality is determining causal relationships from limited data. Probability trees, which combine prior causal structures with Bayesian updates, have been suggested as a possible solution. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Tue Herlau

Large deviation principles and related results are given for a class of Markov chains associated to the "leaves" in random recursive trees and preferential attachment random graphs, as well as the "cherries" in Yule trees. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-22 W. Bryc , D. Minda , S. Sethuraman

Computing and storing probabilities is a hard problem as soon as one has to deal with complex distributions over multiple random variables. The problem of efficient representation of probability distributions is central in term of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-16 David Bellot , Pierre Bessiere
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