English
Related papers

Related papers: High-Confidence Predictions under Adversarial Unce…

200 papers

We study the problem of online sequential decision-making given auxiliary demonstrations from experts who made their decisions based on unobserved contextual information. These demonstrations can be viewed as solving related but slightly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Vahid Balazadeh , Keertana Chidambaram , Viet Nguyen , Rahul G. Krishnan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Structured prediction tasks in machine learning involve the simultaneous prediction of multiple labels. This is typically done by maximizing a score function on the space of labels, which decomposes as a sum of pairwise elements, each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Amir Globerson , Tim Roughgarden , David Sontag , Cafer Yildirim

We investigate the problem of learning Bayesian networks in a robust model where an $\epsilon$-fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. In this work, we study the fully observable discrete case where the structure of the network…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel Kane , Alistair Stewart

We study how to utilize (possibly erroneous) predictions in a model for computing under uncertainty in which an algorithm can query unknown data. Our aim is to minimize the number of queries needed to solve the minimum spanning tree…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Thomas Erlebach , Murilo Santos de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

Machine learning and statistics typically focus on building models that capture the vast majority of the data, possibly ignoring a small subset of data as "noise" or "outliers." By contrast, here we consider the problem of jointly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Brendan Juba

Alice and Bob want to run a protocol over a noisy channel, where a certain number of bits are flipped adversarially. Several results take a protocol requiring $L$ bits of noise-free communication and make it robust over such a channel. In a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-08-17 Varsha Dani , Thomas P. Hayes , Mahnush Movahedi , Jared Saia , Maxwell Young

Online sequence prediction is the problem of predicting the next element of a sequence given previous elements. This problem has been extensively studied in the context of individual sequence prediction, where no prior assumptions are made…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Elad Eban , Aharon Birnbaum , Shai Shalev-Shwartz , Amir Globerson

In this work we study preprocessing for tractable problems when part of the input is unknown or uncertain. This comes up naturally if, e.g., the load of some machines or the congestion of some roads is not known far enough in advance, or if…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Stefan Fafianie , Stefan Kratsch , Voung Anh Quyen

Bayesian analysis plays a crucial role in estimating distribution of unknown parameters for given data and model. Due to the curse of dimensionality, it becomes difficult for high-dimensional problems, especially when multiple modes exist.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zihan Liao , Binbin Li , Hua-Ping Wan

Algorithmic statistics considers the following problem: given a binary string $x$ (e.g., some experimental data), find a "good" explanation of this data. It uses algorithmic information theory to define formally what is a good explanation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-21 Alexey Milovanov

An algorithm for automated construction of a sparse Bayesian network given an unstructured probabilistic model and causal domain information from an expert has been developed and implemented. The goal is to obtain a network that explicitly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Sampath Srinivas , Stuart Russell , Alice M. Agogino

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

Complex classifiers may exhibit "embarassing" failures in cases where humans can easily provide a justified classification. Avoiding such failures is obviously of key importance. In this work, we focus on one such setting, where a label is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Deborah Cohen , Amit Daniely , Amir Globerson , Gal Elidan

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

Data dispersed across multiple files are commonly integrated through probabilistic linkage methods, where even minimal error rates in record matching can significantly contaminate subsequent statistical analyses. In regression problems, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

We design improved approximation algorithms for NP-hard graph problems by incorporating predictions (e.g., learned from past data). Our prediction model builds upon and extends the $\varepsilon$-prediction framework by Cohen-Addad, d'Orsi,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Anders Aamand , Justin Y. Chen , Siddharth Gollapudi , Sandeep Silwal , Hao Wu

An empirical Bayes approach to the estimation of possibly sparse sequences observed in Gaussian white noise is set out and investigated. The prior considered is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density \gamma,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone , Bernard W. Silverman

We use the martingale-theoretic approach of game-theoretic probability to incorporate imprecision into the study of randomness. In particular, we define several notions of randomness associated with interval, rather than precise,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

We consider nonparametric sequential hypothesis testing problem when the distribution under the null hypothesis is fully known but the alternate hypothesis corresponds to some other unknown distribution with some loose constraints. We…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-15 Shouvik Ganguly , K Sahasranand , Vinod Sharma