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Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Spatio-temporal systems exhibiting multi-scale behaviour are common in applications ranging from cyber-physical systems to systems biology, yet they present formidable challenges for computational modelling and analysis. Here we consider a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-01 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

Models of biological systems often have many unknown parameters that must be determined in order for model behavior to match experimental observations. Commonly-used methods for parameter estimation that return point estimates of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-31 Sanjana Gupta , Liam Hainsworth , Justin S. Hogg , Robin E. C. Lee , James R. Faeder

We consider the important problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of reaction networks that describe the dynamics as a continuous-time Markov process over a discrete lattice. These sensitivity values are useful…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Ankit Gupta , Muruhan Rathinam , Mustafa Khammash

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Stochastic process discovery is concerned with deriving a model capable of reproducing the stochastic character of observed executions of a given process, stored in a log. This leads to an optimisation problem in which the model's parameter…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Pierre Cry , Paolo Ballarini , András Horváth , Pascale Le Gall

In cryo-electron microscopy (EM), molecular structures are determined from large numbers of projection images of individual particles. To harness the full power of this single-molecule information, we use the Bayesian inference of EM…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-17 Pilar Cossio , David Rohr , Fabio Baruffa , Markus Rampp , Volker Lindenstruth , Gerhard Hummer

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

In this paper we address the problem of Monte Carlo approximation of posterior probability distributions in stochastic kinetic models (SKMs). SKMs are multivariate Markov jump processes that model the interactions among species in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-22 Eugenia Koblents , Joaquín Míguez

Graphical models are widely used to make inferences concerning interplay in multivariate systems. In many applications, data are collected from multiple related but nonidentical units whose underlying networks may differ but are likely to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Chris J. Oates , Jim Korkola , Joe W. Gray , Sach Mukherjee

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Various kinetic Monte Carlo algorithms become inefficient when some of the population sizes in a system are large, which gives rise to a large number of reaction events per unit time. Here, we present a new acceleration algorithm based on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Yen Ting Lin , Song Feng , William S. Hlavacek

With the technology development, the need of analyze and extraction of useful information is increasing. Bayesian networks contain knowledge from data and experts that could be used for decision making processes But they are not easily…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Mostafa Sepahvand , Ghasem Alikhajeh , Meysam Ghaffari , Abdolreza Mirzaei

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Bayesian spectral deconvolution provides a data-driven framework for mathematical model selection and parameter estimation from spectral data. Although highly versatile, it becomes computationally expensive as the number of model…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-07 Tomohiro Nabika , Yui Hayashi , Masato Okada

Discrete-state, continuous-time Markov models are widely used in the modeling of biochemical reaction networks. Their complexity often precludes analytic solution, and we rely on stochastic simulation algorithms to estimate system…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-20 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Michael B. Giles , Ruth E. Baker

Crystallization processes at the mesoscopic scale, where faceted, dendritic growth, and multigrain formation can be observed, are of particular interest within materials science and metallurgy. These processes are highly nonlinear,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Pol Timmer , Koen Minartz , Vlado Menkovski

Biochemical reaction networks are an amalgamation of reactions where each reaction represents the interaction of different species. Generally, these networks exhibit a multi-scale behavior caused by the high variability in reaction rates…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-14 Derya Altıntan , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Integrating measurements and historical data can enhance control systems through learning-based techniques, but ensuring performance and safety is challenging. Robust model predictive control strategies, like stochastic model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 J. Pohlodek , H. Alsmeier , B. Morabito , C. Schlauch , A. Savchenko , R. Findeisen

If a stochastic system during some periods of its evolution can be divided into non-interacting parts, the kinetics of each part can be simulated independently. We show that this can be used in the development of efficient Monte Carlo…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-13 V. I. Tokar , H. Dreyssé