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How can we detect traffic disturbances from international flight transportation logs or changes to collaboration dynamics in academic networks? These problems can be formulated as detecting anomalous change points in a dynamic graph.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Shenyang Huang , Jacob Danovitch , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

We propose new methods for detecting multiple change points in time series, specifically designed for random walk processes, where stationarity and variance changes present challenges. Our approach combines two trend estimation methods: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Xiyuan Liu

The detection of anomalies or transitions in complex dynamical systems is of critical importance to various applications. In this study, we propose the use of machine learning to detect changepoints for high-dimensional dynamical systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Sen Lin , Gianmarco Mengaldo , Romit Maulik

We study the multivariate nonparametric change point detection problem, where the data are a sequence of independent $p$-dimensional random vectors whose distributions are piecewise-constant with Lipschitz densities changing at unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

This paper develops change-point methods for the spectrum of a locally stationary time series. We focus on series with a bounded spectral density that change smoothly under the null hypothesis but exhibits change-points or becomes less…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Existing monitoring tools for multivariate data are often asymptotically distribution-free, computationally intensive, or require a large stretch of stable data. Many of these methods are not applicable to 'high dimension, low sample size'…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Niladri Chakraborty , Chun Fai Lui , Ahmed Maged

This paper considers the problem of estimating a change point in the covariance matrix in a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is substantially larger than the sample size. A two-stage approach is proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-31 H. Dette , G. M. Pan , Q. Yang

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Change-point detection, detecting an abrupt change in the data distribution from sequential data, is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. CUSUM is a popular statistical method for online change-point detection due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Tingnan Gong , Junghwan Lee , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

A change point detection procedure using the method of moment estimators is proposed. The test statistics is based on a suitable $Z$-process. The asymptotic behavior of this process is established under both the null and the alternative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-08 Ilia Negri , Yoichi Nishiyama

In modern business modeling and analytics, data monitoring plays a critical role. Nowadays, sophisticated models often rely on hundreds or even thousands of input variables. Over time, structural changes such as abrupt level shifts or trend…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-07 Yingbo Li , Robert Cezeaux , Di Yu

This paper deals with off-line detection of change points for time series of independent observations, when the number of change points is unknown. We propose a sequential analysis like method with linear time and memory complexity. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Pierre R. Bertrand , Mehdi Fhima , Arnaud Guillin

In segmentation problems, inference on change-point position and model selection are two difficult issues due to the discrete nature of change-points. In a Bayesian context, we derive exact, non-asymptotic, explicit and tractable formulae…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-31 Guillem Rigaill , Emilie Lebarbier , Stéphane Robin

Detecting abrupt changes in real-time data streams from scientific simulations presents a challenging task, demanding the deployment of accurate and efficient algorithms. Identifying change points in live data stream involves continuous…

The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

We consider change-point estimation in a sequence of high-dimensional signals given noisy observations. Classical approaches to this problem such as the filtered derivative method are useful for sequences of scalar-valued signals, but they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Yong Sheng Soh , Venkat Chandrasekaran

We propose a change-point detection method for large scale multiple testing problems with data having clustered signals. Unlike the classic change-point setup, the signals can vary in size within a cluster. The clustering structure on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Wei Biao Wu
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