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We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

Many engineering systems are subject to spatially distributed uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty that can be modeled as a random field. Altering the mean or covariance of this uncertainty will in general change the statistical distribution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-09 Eric Dow , Qiqi Wang

Sparse linear regression with ill-conditioned Gaussian random designs is widely believed to exhibit a statistical/computational gap, but there is surprisingly little formal evidence for this belief, even in the form of examples that are…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Jonathan A. Kelner , Frederic Koehler , Raghu Meka , Dhruv Rohatgi

Consider a regression model with fixed design and Gaussian noise where the regression function can potentially be well approximated by a function that admits a sparse representation in a given dictionary. This paper resorts to exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

A method to reconstruct fields, source strengths and physical parameters based on Gaussian process regression is presented for the case where data are known to fulfill a given linear differential equation with localized sources. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-10 Christopher G. Albert

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

We consider the problem of estimating covariance and precision matrices, and their associated discriminant coefficients, from normal data when the rank of the covariance matrix is strictly smaller than its dimension and the available sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells

We investigate simulation-based bandpower covariance matrices commonly used in cosmological parameter inferences such as the estimation of the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$. We find that upper limits on $r$ can be biased low by tens of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-06 Dominic Beck , Ari Cukierman , W. L. Kimmy Wu

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

Gaussian Processes (GP) have become popular machine-learning methods for kernel-based learning on datasets with complicated covariance structures. In this paper, we present a novel extension to the GP framework using a contaminated normal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Daniel Iong , Matthew McAnear , Yuezhou Qu , Shasha Zou , Gabor Toth , Yang Chen

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

Many techniques for data science and uncertainty quantification demand efficient tools to handle Gaussian random fields, which are defined in terms of their mean functions and covariance operators. Recently, parameterized Gaussian random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Daniel Kressner , Jonas Latz , Stefano Massei , Elisabeth Ullmann

Recently, many machine learning and statistical models such as non-linear regressions, the Single Index, Multi-index, Varying Coefficient Index Models and Two-layer Neural Networks can be reduced to or be seen as a special case of a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Di Wang , Xiangyu Guo , Chaowen Guan , Shi Li , Jinhui Xu

The coefficients in a second order parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) are estimated from multiple spatially localised measurements. Assuming that the spatial resolution tends to zero and the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Randolf Altmeyer , Anton Tiepner , Martin Wahl

In covariance matrix estimation, one of the challenges lies in finding a suitable model and an efficient estimation method. Two commonly used modelling approaches in the literature involve imposing linear restrictions on the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Piotr Zwiernik

In this paper, we study a smoothness regularization method for a varying coefficient model based on sparse and irregularly sampled functional data which is contaminated with some measurement errors. We estimate the one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Behdad Mostafaiy

The use of Gaussian process models is typically limited to datasets with a few tens of thousands of observations due to their complexity and memory footprint. The two most commonly used methods to overcome this limitation are 1) the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Vincent Adam , Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Nicolas Durrande , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

This paper presents a general framework for the estimation of regression models with circular covariates, where the conditional distribution of the response given the covariate can be specified through a parametric model. The estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 María Alonso-Pena , Irène Gijbels , Rosa M. Crujeiras

In this paper, we consider signals with a low-rank covariance matrix which reside in a low-dimensional subspace and can be written in terms of a finite (small) number of parameters. Although such signals do not necessarily have a sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Mahdi Shaghaghi , Sergiy A. Vorobyov

We study sparse principal components analysis in high dimensions, where $p$ (the number of variables) can be much larger than $n$ (the number of observations), and analyze the problem of estimating the subspace spanned by the principal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Vincent Q. Vu , Jing Lei