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We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

This paper considers estimation of sparse covariance matrices and establishes the optimal rate of convergence under a range of matrix operator norm and Bregman divergence losses. A major focus is on the derivation of a rate sharp minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

We develop a framework for Gaussian processes regression constrained by boundary value problems. The framework may be applied to infer the solution of a well-posed boundary value problem with a known second-order differential operator and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Laura Swiler

We consider a Gaussian sequence space model $X_{\lambda}=f_{\lambda} + \xi_{\lambda},$ where $\xi $ has a diagonal covariance matrix $\Sigma=\diag(\sigma_\lambda ^2)$. We consider the situation where the parameter vector $(f_{\lambda})$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Laurent Cavalier , Markus Reiß

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

The laws of quantum mechanics place fundamental limits on the accuracy of measurements and therefore on the estimation of unknown parameters of a quantum system. In this work, we prove lower bounds on the size of confidence regions reported…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-23 Michael Walter , Joseph M. Renes

We investigate stochastic combinatorial semi-bandits, where the entire joint distribution of outcomes impacts the complexity of the problem instance (unlike in the standard bandits). Typical distributions considered depend on specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-16 Pierre Perrault , Vianney Perchet , Michal Valko

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

In this paper we consider estimation of sparse covariance matrices and propose a thresholding procedure which is adaptive to the variability of individual entries. The estimators are fully data driven and enjoy excellent performance both…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-14 Tony Cai , Weidong Liu

We consider Gaussian mixture models in high dimensions and concentrate on the twin tasks of detection and feature selection. Under sparsity assumptions on the difference in means, we derive information bounds and establish the performance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Nicolas Verzelen , Ery Arias-Castro

Estimating covariance parameters for multivariate spatial Gaussian random fields is computationally challenging, as the number of parameters grows rapidly with the number of variables, and likelihood evaluation requires operations of order…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Gabriel Riffo , Xavier Emery

We investigate the frequentist guarantees of the variational sparse Gaussian process regression model. In the theoretical analysis, we focus on the variational approach with spectral features as inducing variables. We derive guarantees and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

The random matrix theory method of planar Gaussian diagrammatic expansion is applied to find the mean spectral density of the Hermitian equal-time and non-Hermitian time-lagged cross-covariance estimators, firstly in the form of master…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-22 Andrzej Jarosz

A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi

While covariance matrices have been widely studied in many scientific fields, relatively limited progress has been made on estimating conditional covariances that permits a large covariance matrix to vary with high-dimensional subject-level…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 Rakheon Kim , Jingfei Zhang

We present a method for estimating conditionally Gaussian random vectors with random covariance matrices, which uses techniques from the field of machine learning. Such models are typical in communication systems, where the covariance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-07 David Neumann , Thomas Wiese , Wolfgang Utschick

In this paper, we endeavor for predicting the performance of quantized compressive sensing under the use of sparse reconstruction estimators. We assume that a high rate vector quantizer is used to encode the noisy compressive sensing…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-01 Amirpasha Shirazinia , Saikat Chatterjee , Mikael Skoglund

This paper presents a novel variational inference framework for deriving a family of Bayesian sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models whose approximations are variationally optimal with respect to the full-rank GPR model enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Haibin Yu , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

This paper aims at achieving a simultaneously sparse and low-rank estimator from the semidefinite population covariance matrices. We first benefit from a convex optimization which develops $l_1$-norm penalty to encourage the sparsity and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-08 Shenglong Zhou , Naihua Xiu , Ziyan Luo , Lingchen Kong

Estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices is a key task across many fields. This paper explores the theoretical limits of distributed covariance estimation in a feature-split setting, where communication between agents is constrained.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-24 Mohammad Reza Rahmani , Mohammad Hossein Yassaee , Mohammad Reza Aref