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The growing field of large-scale time domain astronomy requires methods for probabilistic data analysis that are computationally tractable, even with large datasets. Gaussian Processes are a popular class of models used for this purpose…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Eric Agol , Sivaram Ambikasaran , Ruth Angus

Stochastic volatility models based on Gaussian processes, like fractional Brownian motion, are able to reproduce important stylized facts of financial markets such as rich autocorrelation structures, persistence and roughness of sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber

This paper derives stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) for fluid dynamics from a stochastic variational principle (SVP). The Legendre transform of the Lagrangian formulation of these SPDEs yields their Lie-Poisson Hamiltonian…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-08-19 Darryl D. Holm

The applicability of stochastic differential equations to thermodynamics is considered and a new form, different from the classical Ito and Stratonovich forms, is introduced. It is shown that the new presentation is more appropriate for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 R. Tsekov

We treat a stochastic integration theory for a class of Hilbert-valued, volatility-modulated, conditionally Gaussian Volterra processes. We apply techniques from Malliavin calculus to define this stochastic integration as a sum of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Fred Espen Benth , André Süß

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We introduce a stochastic analysis of Grassmann random variables suitable for the stochastic quantization of Euclidean fermionic quantum field theories. Analysis on Grassmann algebras is developed here from the point of view of quantum…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Sergio Albeverio , Luigi Borasi , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Massimiliano Gubinelli

The discrete class algorithm presented in this paper is an efficient simulation tool for stochastic processes governed by a reasonably small set of transition rates. The algorithm is presented, its performance compared to prevailing methods…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Hans E. Plesser , Dietmar Wendt

Model predictive control is an advanced control approach for multivariable systems with constraints, which is reliant on an accurate dynamic model. Most real dynamic models are however affected by uncertainties, which can lead to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-10 E. Bradford , L. Imsland

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

For a series of Markov processes we prove stochastic duality relations with duality functions given by orthogonal polynomials. This means that expectations with respect to the original process (which evolves the variable of the orthogonal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Chiara Franceschini , Cristian Giardinà

Stochastic processes are proposed whose master equations coincide with classical wave, telegraph, and Klein-Gordon equations. Similar to predecessors based on the Goldstein-Kac telegraph process, the model describes the motion of particles…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. V. Plyukhin

Let $B$ be a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H=1/6$. It is known that the symmetric Stratonovich-style Riemann sums for $\int g(B(s))\,dB(s)$ do not, in general, converge in probability. We show, however, that they do…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-23 Ivan Nourdin , Anthony Réveillac , Jason Swanson

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana

The starting point of the current paper is a sequence of uncorrelated random variables. The distribution functions of these variables are assumed to be given but no assumptions on the types or the structure of these distributions are made.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 R. Mikulevicius , B. L. Rozovskii

We made a first attempt to associate a probabilistic description of stochastic processes like birth-death processes with spacetime geometry in the Schwarzschild metrics on distance scales from the macro- to the micro-domains. We idealize an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 E. Canessa

We describe a general scheme of derivation of the Vlasov-type equations for Markov evolutions of particle systems in continuum. This scheme is based on a proper scaling of corresponding Markov generators and has an algorithmic realization…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy

This paper generalizes stochastic collocation methods to handle correlated non-Gaussian random parameters. The key challenge is to perform a multivariate numerical integration in a correlated parameter space when computing the coefficient…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

This work is about parameter estimation for a fast-slow stochastic system with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise. When the observations are only available for slow components, a system parameter is estimated and the accuracy for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Ying Chao , Pingyuan Wei , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic Galerkin methods can quantify uncertainty at a fraction of the computational expense of conventional Monte Carlo techniques, but such methods have rarely been studied for modelling shallow water flows. Existing stochastic shallow…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-16 James Shaw , Georges Kesserwani
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