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In this paper we propose a novel dual regression-based approach for pricing American options. This approach reduces the complexity of the nested Monte Carlo method and has especially simple form for time discretised diffusion processes. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-07 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Mikhail Urusov

In this work, we present a novel machine learning approach for pricing high-dimensional American options based on the modified Gaussian process regression (GPR). We incorporate deep kernel learning and sparse variational Gaussian processes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-19 Jirong Zhuang , Deng Ding , Weiguo Lu , Xuan Wu , Gangnan Yuan

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a very versatile and widely used tool to compute integrals and expectations. In this short survey we focus on error bounds, rules for choosing the burn in, high dimensional problems and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Erich Novak , Daniel Rudolf

We propose a novel hybrid quantum computing strategy for parallel MCMC algorithms that generate multiple proposals at each step. This strategy makes the rate-limiting step within parallel MCMC amenable to quantum parallelization by using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-21 Andrew J. Holbrook

The problem of computing the conditional expectation E[f (Y)|X] with least-square Monte-Carlo is of general importance and has been widely studied. To solve this problem, it is usually assumed that one has as many samples of Y as of X.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Aurélien Alfonsi , Bernard Lapeyre , Jérôme Lelong

Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used to analyze spatially referenced data and to predict values at locations without observations. In contrast to many algorithmic procedures, GP models are based on a statistical framework, which…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, the pricing of American and Bermudan options can be casted into optimal stopping problems. We propose a new adaptive simulation based algorithm for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Daniel Egloff , Michael Kohler , Nebojsa Todorovic

Optimization problems involving sequential decisions in a stochastic environment were studied in Stochastic Programming (SP), Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) and Markov Decision Processes (MDP). In this paper we mainly concentrate on SP…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Guanghui Lan , Alexander Shapiro

We describe general multilevel Monte Carlo methods that estimate the price of an Asian option monitored at $m$ fixed dates. Our approach yields unbiased estimators with standard deviation $O(\epsilon)$ in $O(m + (1/\epsilon)^{2})$ expected…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahale

We present an adaptive multi-GPU Exchange Monte Carlo method designed for the simulation of the 3D Random Field Model. The algorithm design is based on a two-level parallelization scheme that allows the method to scale its performance in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-08-10 C. A. Navarro , Wei Huang , Youjin Deng

Computer power is a constantly increasing demand in scientific data analyses, in particular when Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are involved, for example for estimating integral functions or Bayesian posterior probabilities. In…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Fabio Castagna , Alberto Trombetta , Marco Landoni , Stefano Andreon

In this work, we propose a new policy iteration algorithm for pricing Bermudan options when the payoff process cannot be written as a function of a lifted Markov process. Our approach is based on a modification of the well-known Longstaff…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Jérôme Lelong

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is the predominant tool used in Bayesian parameter estimation for hierarchical models. When the model expands due to an increasing number of hierarchical levels, number of groups at a particular level, or…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-22 Will Landau , Jarad Niemi

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

In financial engineering, prices of financial products are computed approximately many times each trading day with (slightly) different parameters in each calculation. In many financial models such prices can be approximated by means of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Sebastian Becker , Arnulf Jentzen , Marvin S. Müller , Philippe von Wurstemberger

Quantitative finance is the use of mathematical models to analyse financial markets and securities. Typically requiring significant amounts of computation, an important question is the role that novel architectures can play in accelerating…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mark Klaisoongnoen , Nick Brown , Oliver Thomson Brown

We study multiproposal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Multiple-try or generalised Metropolis-Hastings schemes, which have recently received renewed attention due to their amenability to parallel computing. First, we prove that…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-31 Francesco Pozza , Giacomo Zanella

In general, the pricing of variable annuities with guarantees can be done by solving the corresponding optimal stochastic control problem if the contract withdrawal strategy is assumed to be optimal. This is typically solved as a dynamic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Nicolas Langrené , Xiaolin Luo , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Ruiyi Zhang

We present a modification to variational Monte Carlo's linear method optimization scheme that addresses a critical memory bottleneck while maintaining compatibility with both the traditional ground state variational principle and our…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2017-02-07 Luning Zhao , Eric Neuscamman
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