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In many first-price auctions, bidders face considerable strategic uncertainty: They cannot perfectly anticipate the other bidders' bidding behavior. We propose a model in which bidders do not know the entire distribution of opponent bids…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-30 Bernhard Kasberger

We consider auction environments in which at the time of the auction bidders observe signals about their ex-post value. We introduce a model of novice bidders who do not know know the joint distribution of signals and instead build a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-07-02 Philippe Jehiel , Konrad Mierendorff

This paper introduces a version of the interdependent value model of Milgrom and Weber (1982), where the signals are given by an index gathering signal shifters observed by the econometrician and private ones specific to each bidders. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-24 Nathalie Gimenes , Emmanuel Guerre

The paper proposes a quantile-regression inference framework for first-price auctions with symmetric risk-neutral bidders under the independent private-value paradigm. It is first shown that a private-value quantile regression generates a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Nathalie Gimenes , Emmanuel Guerre

We provide the first direct test of how the credibility of an auction format affects bidding behavior and final outcomes. To do so, we conduct a series of laboratory experiments where the role of the seller is played by a human subject who…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-19 Ahrash Dianat , Mikhail Freer

We study independent private values auction environments in which the auctioneer's revenue depends nonlinearly on bidders' interim winning probabilities. Our framework accommodates heterogeneity among bidders and places no ad hoc…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-23 Pasha Andreyanov , Ilia Krasikov , Alex Suzdaltsev

In practice, most auction mechanisms are not strategy-proof, so equilibrium analysis is required to predict bidding behavior. In many auctions, though, an exact equilibrium is not known and one would like to understand whether -- manually…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Fabian R. Pieroth , Tuomas Sandholm

Mature internet advertising platforms offer high-level campaign management tools to help advertisers run their campaigns, often abstracting away the intricacies of how each ad is placed and focusing on aggregate metrics of interest to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Vincent Conitzer , Christian Kroer , Debmalya Panigrahi , Okke Schrijvers , Eric Sodomka , Nicolas E. Stier-Moses , Chris Wilkens

We study the identification and estimation of first-price auction models where bidders have ambiguity about the valuation distribution and their preferences are represented by maxmin expected utility. When entry is exogenous, the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-13 Gaurab Aryal , Dong-Hyuk Kim

We provide efficient estimation methods for first- and second-price auctions under independent (asymmetric) private values and partial observability. Given a finite set of observations, each comprising the identity of the winner and the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Constantinos Daskalakis , Andrew Ilyas , Manolis Zampetakis

In non-truthful auctions, agents' utility for a strategy depends on the strategies of the opponents and also the prior distribution over their private types; the set of Bayes Nash equilibria generally has an intricate dependence on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Hu Fu , Tao Lin

Federated learning (FL) is a paradigm that allows distributed clients to learn a shared machine learning model without sharing their sensitive training data. While largely decentralized, FL requires resources to fund a central orchestrator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Andreas Haupt , Vaikkunth Mugunthan

In this paper, we design and implement an experiment aimed at testing the level-k model of auctions. We begin by asking which (simple) environments can best disentangle the level-k model from its leading rival, Bayes-Nash equilibrium. We…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-11 Itzhak Rasooly

The first-price auction is popular in practice for its simplicity and transparency. Moreover, its potential virtues grow in complex settings where incentive compatible auctions may generate little or no revenue. Unfortunately, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-30 Darrell Hoy , Kamal Jain , Christopher A. Wilkens

This paper studies inference in first-price and second-price sealed-bid auctions with many bidders, using an asymptotic framework where the number of bidders increases while the number of auctions remains fixed. Our approach enables…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Federico A. Bugni , Yulong Wang

We study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to adaptively bid in repeated first-price auctions to maximize her cumulative payoff. This problem arose due to an industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yige Wang , Jiashuo Jiang

We consider the problem of computing a (pure) Bayes-Nash equilibrium in the first-price auction with continuous value distributions and discrete bidding space. We prove that when bidders have independent subjective prior beliefs about the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Yiannis Giannakopoulos , Alexandros Hollender , Philip Lazos , Diogo Poças

We consider the question of whether collusion among bidders (a "bidding ring") can be supported in equilibrium of unrepeated first-price auctions. Unlike previous work on the topic such as that by McAfee and McMillan [1992] and Marshall and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Kevin Leyton-Brown , Moshe Tennenholtz , Navin Bhat , Yoav Shoham

Auction-based Federated Learning (AFL) enables open collaboration among self-interested data consumers and data owners. Existing AFL approaches are commonly under the assumption of sellers' market in that the service clients as sellers are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Jiaxi Yang , Zihao Guo , Sheng Cao , Cuifang Zhao , Li-Chuan Tsai

We study optimal auction design for Maximum Extractable Value (MEV) auction markets on Ethereum. Using a dataset of 2.2 million transactions across three major orderflow providers, we establish three empirical regularities: extracted values…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Aleksei Adadurov , Sergey Barseghyan , Anton Chtepine , Antero Eloranta , Andrei Sebyakin , Arsenii Valitov
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