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We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

The classical multivariate extreme value theory tries to capture the extremal dependence between the components under a multivariate domain of attraction condition and it requires each of the components to be in the domain of attraction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-13 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

Generating accurate extremes from an observational data set is crucial when seeking to estimate risks associated with the occurrence of future extremes which could be larger than those already observed. Applications range from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Lafon , Philippe Naveau , Ronan Fablet

Modeling correlated or highly stratified multiple-response data becomes a common data analysis task due to modern data monitoring facilities and methods. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) is one of the popular statistical methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-05 Zimu Chen , Zhanfeng Wang , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

We introduce the XBX regression model, a continuous mixture of extended-support beta regressions for modelling bounded responses with boundary observations. The core building block of XBX regression is the extended-support beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Ioannis Kosmidis , Achim Zeileis

Sampling efficiency is a key bottleneck in reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards. Existing group-based policy optimization methods, such as GRPO, allocate a fixed number of rollouts for all training prompts. This uniform allocation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Hieu Trung Nguyen , Bao Nguyen , Wenao Ma , Yuzhi Zhao , Ruifeng She , Viet Anh Nguyen

Agents' learning from feedback shapes economic outcomes, and many economic decision-makers today employ learning algorithms to make consequential choices. This note shows that a widely used learning algorithm, $\varepsilon$-Greedy, exhibits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Andreas Haupt , Aroon Narayanan

We propose a new method for multivariate response regression and covariance estimation when elements of the response vector are of mixed types, for example some continuous and some discrete. Our method is based on a model which assumes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

Generalized estimating equation (GEE) is widely adopted for regression modeling for longitudinal data, taking account of potential correlations within the same subjects. Although the standard GEE assumes common regression coefficients among…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-11 Tsubasa Ito , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Predicting customers' long-term revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data is central to marketing resource allocation in non-contractual settings, yet existing approaches face a trade-off. Traditional probabilistic customer base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Jeffrey Näf , Riana Valera Mbelson , Markus Meierer

Generalized linear latent variable models (GLLVMs) are a class of methods for analyzing multi-response data which has garnered considerable popularity in recent years, for example, in the analysis of multivariate abundance data in ecology.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Pekka Korhonen , Francis K. C. Hui , Jenni Niku , Sara Taskinen

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) has garnered significant attention in recent years due to the growing interest in deploying RL agents in real-world scenarios. A critical aspect of risk awareness involves modeling highly rare risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Karthik Somayaji NS , Yu Wang , Malachi Schram , Jan Drgona , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Frank Liu , Peng Li

We propose a new framework for binary classification in transfer learning settings where both covariate and label distributions may shift between source and target domains. Unlike traditional covariate shift or label shift assumptions, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-29 Manli Cheng , Subha Maity , Qinglong Tian , Pengfei Li

The goal of network embedding is to transform nodes in a network to a low-dimensional embedding vectors. Recently, heterogeneous network has shown to be effective in representing diverse information in data. However, heterogeneous network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-21 Seonghyeon Lee , Chanyoung Park , Hwanjo Yu

Backpropagation (BP) uses detailed, unit-specific feedback to train deep neural networks (DNNs) with remarkable success. That biological neural circuits appear to perform credit assignment, but cannot implement BP, implies the existence of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-01 David G. Clark , L. F. Abbott , SueYeon Chung

Since the extreme value index (EVI) controls the tail behaviour of the distribution function, the estimation of EVI is a very important topic in extreme value theory. Recent developments in the estimation of EVI along with covariates have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Takuma Yoshida

Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is one of the most commonly used approaches in finance for measuring the downside risk of investment portfolios, especially during financial crises. In this paper, we propose a novel approach based on EVT called…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-16 Hamidreza Arian , Hossein Poorvasei , Azin Sharifi , Shiva Zamani

The geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a well-known statistical approach to explore spatial non-stationarity of the regression relationship in spatial data analysis. In this paper, we discuss a Bayesian recourse of GWR. Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Zhihua Ma , Yishu Xue , Guanyu Hu

Power law scaling models have been used to understand the complexity of systems as diverse as cities, neurological activity, and rainfall and lightning. In the scaling framework, power laws and standard linear regression methods are widely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Jack Sutton , Golnaz Shahtahmassebi , Quentin S. Hanley , Haroldo V. Ribeiro
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