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The paper is devoted to the numerical solutions of fractional PDEs based on its probabilistic interpretation, that is, we construct approximate solutions via certain Monte Carlo simulations. The main results represent the upper bound of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Vassili Kolokoltsov , Feng Lin , Aleksandar Mijatovic

We consider the problem of estimating a nested structure of two expectations taking the form $U_0 = E[\max\{U_1(Y), \pi(Y)\}]$, where $U_1(Y) = E[X\ |\ Y]$. Terms of this form arise in financial risk estimation and option pricing. When…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-16 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence

Monte Carlo methods are used to approximate the means, $\mu$, of random variables $Y$, whose distributions are not known explicitly. The key idea is that the average of a random sample, $Y_1, ..., Y_n$, tends to $\mu$ as $n$ tends to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Fred J. Hickernell , Lan Jiang , Yuewei Liu , Art Owen

The problem of the construction of strong approximations with a given order of convergence for jump-diffusion equations is studied. General approximation schemes are constructed for L\'evy type stochastic differential equation. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-22 Michał Barski

This paper proposes an adaptive timestep construction for an Euler-Maruyama approximation of the ergodic SDEs with a drift which is not globally Lipschitz over an infinite time interval. If the timestep is bounded appropriately, we show not…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Wei Fang , Michael B. Giles

Semilinear hyperbolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) find widespread applications in the natural and engineering sciences. However, the traditional Gaussian setting may prove too restrictive, as phenomena in mathematical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Andrea Barth , Andreas Stein

We study statistical model checking of continuous-time stochastic hybrid systems. The challenge in applying statistical model checking to these systems is that one cannot simulate such systems exactly. We employ the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar , Tigran Nagapetyan

We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

In this work, we extend the hybrid Chernoff tau-leap method to the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) setting. Inspired by the work of Anderson and Higham on the tau-leap MLMC method with uniform time steps, we develop a novel algorithm that is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Alvaro Moraes , Raul Tempone , Pedro Vilanova

We introduce three related but distinct improvements to multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for the solution of systems of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Firstly, we show that when the payoff function is twice continuously…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-09-10 L. F. Ricketson

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

We discuss the application of multilevel Monte Carlo methods to elliptic partial differential equations with random coefficients. Such problems arise, for example, in uncertainty quantification in subsurface flow modeling. We give a brief…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-06-08 A. L. Teckentrup

For real L\'{e}vy processes $(X\_t)\_{t \geq 0}$ having no Brownian component with Blumenthal-Getoor index $\beta$, the estimate $\E \sup\_{s \leq t} | X\_s - a\_p s |^p \leq C\_p t$ for every $t \in [0,1]$ and suitable $a\_p \in \R$ has…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Harald Luschgy , Gilles Pagès

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

In this paper, we consider McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs) driven by L\'evy noise. By identifying the right equations satisfied by the solutions of the MVSDEs with shifted driving L\'evy noise, we build up a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Wei Liu , Yulin Song , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang

Let $\xi$ be a L\'{e}vy process and $I_\xi(t):=\int_{0}^te^{-\xi_s}\mathrm{d} s$, $t\geq 0,$ be the exponential functional of L\'{e}vy processes on deterministic horizon. Given that $\lim_{t\to \infty}\xi_t=-\infty$ we evaluate for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Martin Minchev , Mladen Savov

Variational logistic regression is a popular method for approximate Bayesian inference seeing wide-spread use in many areas of machine learning including: Bayesian optimization, reinforcement learning and multi-instance learning to name a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-14 Michael Komodromos , Marina Evangelou , Sarah Filippi

Biochemical reaction networks are often modelled using discrete-state, continuous-time Markov chains. System statistics of these Markov chains usually cannot be calculated analytically and therefore estimates must be generated via…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-19 Daniel Wilson , Ruth E. Baker

We study a Monte Carlo algorithm that is based on a specific (randomly shifted and dilated) lattice point set. The main result of this paper is that the mean squared error for a given compactly supported, square-integrable function is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Mario Ullrich

Monte Carlo simulations of quantum field theories on a lattice become increasingly expensive as the continuum limit is approached since the cost per independent sample grows with a high power of the inverse lattice spacing. Simulations on…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-01-04 Karl Jansen , Eike Hermann Müller , Robert Scheichl