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Phylogenetic trees are widely used to understand the evolutionary history of organisms. Tree shapes provide information about macroevolutionary processes. However, macroevolutionary models are unreliable for inferring the true processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Albert Ch. Soewongsono , Barbara R. Holland , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly

Yule's 1925 paper introducing the branching model that bears his name was a landmark contribution to the biodiversity sciences. In his paper, Yule developed stochastic models to explain the observed distribution of species across genera and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Matt Pennell , Ailene MacPherson

A wide variety of stochastic models of cladogenesis (based on speciation and extinction) lead to an identical distribution on phylogenetic tree shapes once the edge lengths are ignored. By contrast, the distribution of the tree's edge…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 Mike Steel

The reconstruction of a species phylogeny from genomic data faces two significant hurdles: 1) the trees describing the evolution of each individual gene--i.e., the gene trees--may differ from the species phylogeny and 2) the molecular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Gautam Dasarathy , Elchanan Mossel , Robert Nowak , Sebastien Roch

We consider the mutation--selection differential equation with pairwise interaction (or, equivalently, the diploid mutation--selection equation) and establish the corresponding ancestral process, which is a random tree and a variant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel

In a series of recent works it has been shown that a class of simple models of evolving populations under selection leads to genealogical trees whose statistics are given by the Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent rather than by the well known…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-28 Éric Brunet , Bernard Derrida

We present novel analytical results about ecosystem species diversity that stem from a proposed coarse grained neutral model based on birth-death processes. The relevance of the problem lies in the urgency for understanding and synthesizing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Samir Suweis , Andrea Rinaldo , Amos Maritan

The reconstruction of large phylogenetic trees from data that violates clocklike evolution (or as a supertree constructed from any m input trees) raises a difficult question for biologists - how can one assign relative dates to the vertices…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tanja Gernhard , Daniel Ford , Rutger Vos , Mike Steel

The genetic diversity of a species is shaped by its recent evolutionary history and can be used to infer demographic events or selective sweeps. Most inference methods are based on the null hypothesis that natural selection is a weak or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-05 Richard A. Neher , Oskar Hallatschek

Inferring the ancestral state at the root of a phylogenetic tree from states observed at the leaves is a problem arising in evolutionary biology. The simplest technique -- majority rule -- estimates the root state by the most frequently…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-11 Elchanan Mossel , Mike Steel

Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

Null models of binary phylogenetic trees are useful for testing hypotheses on real world phylogenies. In this paper we consider phylogenies as binary trees without edge lengths together with a sampling measure and encode them as algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Josué Nussbaumer , Anita Winter

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

Inference of species networks from genomic data under the Network Multispecies Coalescent Model is currently severely limited by heavy computational demands. It also remains unclear how complicated networks can be for consistent inference…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Elizabeth S. Allman , Hector Baños , Jonathan D. Mitchell , John A. Rhodes

Interacting particle systems undergoing repeated mutation and selection steps model genetic evolution, and also describe a broad class of sequential Monte Carlo methods. The genealogical tree embedded into the system is important in both…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Suzie Brown , Paul A. Jenkins , Adam M. Johansen , Jere Koskela

Species networks generalize the notion of species trees to allow for hybridization or other lateral gene transfer. Under the Network Multispecies Coalescent Model, individual gene trees arising from a network can have any topology, but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-20 Elizabeth Allman , Hector Banos , John Rhodes

Species' interactions are shaped by their traits. Thus, we expect traits -- in particular, trait (dis)similarity -- to play a central role in determining whether a particular set of species coexists. Traits are, in turn, the outcome of an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Carlos A. Servan , Jose A. Capitan , Zachary R. Miller , Stefano Allesina

Phylogenetic networks generalise phylogenetic trees and allow for the accurate representation of the evolutionary history of a set of present-day species whose past includes reticulate events such as hybridisation and lateral gene transfer.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-05 Joan Carles Pons , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

In this paper we present a new way to understand the timing of branching events in phylogenetic trees. Our method explicitly considers the relative timing of diversification events between sister clades; as such it is complimentary to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-03-12 Daniel Ford , Tanja Gernhard , Frederick Matsen

Many applications in genetic analyses utilize sampling distributions, which describe the probability of observing a sample of DNA sequences randomly drawn from a population. In the one-locus case with special models of mutation such as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Anand Bhaskar , John A. Kamm , Yun S. Song