Related papers: A Conversation with George C. Tiao
In 2002, the UCR time series classification archive was first released with sixteen datasets. It gradually expanded, until 2015 when it increased in size from 45 datasets to 85 datasets. In October 2018 more datasets were added, bringing…
We present a simple method to obtain optimal posterior distributions and improve the quality of Bayesian inference with reduced human and computational effort. Bayes' Theorem is reformulated in the language of statistical mechanics, wherein…
Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…
The so-called \textit{China crisis}, well documented in \textit{History of the IAU} by Adriaan Blaauw and in \textit{Under the Same Starry Sky: History of the IAU} by Chengqi Fu and Shuhua Ye, refers to the withdrawal in 1960 of the…
In this article we use global and regional data from the SARS epidemic in conjunction with a model of susceptible, exposed, infective, diagnosed, and recovered classes of people (``SEIJR'') to extract average properties and rate constants…
These are lecture notes for a mini-course on stochastic sewing, taught at the University of Edinburgh and Beijing Institute of Technology in Spring/Summer 2025. The aim is to introduce the reader to stochastic sewing techniques and to show…
Building on the notion of $q$-integral introduced by Thomae in 1869, we introduce $q$-order statistics (that, is $q$-analogues of the classical order statistics, for $0<q<1$) which arise from dependent and not identically distributed…
In this paper, we propose the Graph Temporal Edge Aggregation (GTEA) framework for inductive learning on Temporal Interaction Graphs (TIGs). Different from previous works, GTEA models the temporal dynamics of interaction sequences in the…
Understanding the creation, evolution, and dissemination of scientific knowledge is crucial for bridging diverse subject areas and addressing complex global challenges such as pandemics, climate change, and ethical AI. Scientometrics, the…
By investigating the exam scores of introductory economics in a business school in Taiwan between 2008 and 2019, we find three sets of results: First, we find no significant difference between genders in the exam scores. Second, students'…
We study a goal-oriented communication system in which a source monitors an environment that evolves as a discrete-time, two-state Markov chain. At each time slot, a controller decides whether to sample the environment and if so whether to…
With the explosive growth of new graduates with research degrees every year, unprecedented challenges arise for early-career researchers to find a job at a suitable institution. This study aims to understand the behavior of academic job…
The combined increase of energy demand and environmental pollution at a global scale is entailing a rethinking of the production models in sustainable terms. As a consequence, energy suppliers are starting to adopt strategies that flatten…
Recently, AI-based weather forecast models have achieved impressive advances. These models have reached accuracy levels comparable to traditional NWP systems, marking a significant milestone in data-driven weather prediction. However, they…
In the last few years, there has been a surge of interest in learning representations of entitiesand relations in knowledge graph (KG). However, the recent availability of temporal knowledgegraphs (TKGs) that contain time information for…
The use of case-crossover designs has become widespread in epidemiological and medical investigations of transient associations. However, the most popular reference-select strategy, the time-stratified schema, is not a suitable solution for…
This article offers a modification of Chow and Liu's learning algorithm in the context of handwritten digit recognition. The modified algorithm directs the user to group digits into several classes consisting of digits that are hard to…
This note is the transcription of an interview with Professor Luigi Rodino, on the occasion of the ISAAC-ICMAM Conference of Analysis in Developing Countries (December 2, 2024 - Bogot\`a), that was dedicated to him. Luigi Rodino is at…
These notes were originally written for the Stochastic Analysis Seminar in the Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering at Princeton University, in February of 2011. The seminar was attended and supported by members of…
It is quite evident that majority of the population lives in urban area today than in any time of the human history. This trend seems to increase in coming years. A study [5] says that nearly 80.7% of total population in USA stays in urban…