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Related papers: One-dimensional general forest fire processes

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We construct a stationary random tree, embedded in the upper half plane, with prescribed offspring distribution and whose vertices are the atoms of a unit Poisson point process. This process which we call Hammersley's tree process extends…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-11 Anne-Laure Basdevant , Lucas Gerin , Jean-Baptiste Gouere , Arvind Singh

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

We introduce a random finite rooted tree $\mathcal{C}$, the steady state cluster, characterized by a recursive description: $\mathcal{C}$ is a singleton with probability $1/2$ and otherwise is obtained by joining by an edge the roots of two…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Edward Crane

We consider random dynamics on the edges of a uniform Cayley tree with $n$ vertices, in which edges are either inflammable, fireproof, or burt. Every inflammable edge is replaced by a fireproof edge at unit rate, while fires start at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Jean Bertoin

In the classical model of random recursive trees, trees are recursively built by attaching new vertices to old ones. What happens if vertices are allowed to freeze, in the sense that new vertices cannot be attached to already frozen ones?…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Étienne Bellin , Arthur Blanc-Renaudie , Emmanuel Kammerer , Igor Kortchemski

We propose a discrete two-dimensional mathematical model for forest fires and we derive certain results describing its limiting behavior. We also pose a relevant open question.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Vassilis G. Papanicolaou

We consider a system of annihilating particles where particles start from the points of a Poisson process on either the full-line or positive half-line and move at constant i.i.d. speeds until collision. When two particles collide, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Vladas Sidoravicius , Laurent Tournier

We present the analytic solution of the self-organized critical (SOC) forest-fire model in one dimension proving SOC in systems without conservation laws by analytic means. Under the condition that the system is in the steady state and very…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Barbara Drossel , Siegfried Clar , Franz Schwabl

We consider a class of density-dependent branching processes which generalises exponential, logistic and Gompertz growth. A population begins with a single individual, grows exponentially initially, and then growth may slow down as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-11 David Cheek

We develop a finite-sample, design-based theory for random forests in which each tree is a randomized conditional predictor acting on fixed covariates and the forest is their Monte Carlo average. An exact variance identity separates Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Nathaniel S. O'Connell

We study finite-size effects in the self-organized critical forest-fire model by numerically evaluating the tree density and the fire size distribution. The results show that this model does not display the finite-size scaling seen in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Klaus Schenk , Barbara Drossel , Siegfried Clar , Franz Schwabl

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

In the classical Drossel-Schwabl forest fire process, vertices of a lattice become occupied at rate $1$, and they are hit by lightning at some tiny rate $\zeta > 0$, which causes entire connected components to burn. In this paper, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Jacob van den Berg , Pierre Nolin

We study a coarsening process of one-dimensional cell complexes. We show that if cell boundaries move with velocities proportional to the difference in size of neighboring cells, then the average cell size grows at a prescribed exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Emanuel Lazar , Robin Pemantle

We discuss the properties of a self--organized critical forest--fire model which has been introduced recently. We derive scaling laws and define critical exponents. The values of these critical exponents are determined by computer…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 S. Clar , B. Drossel , F. Schwabl

Uniform attachment with freezing is an extension of the classical model of random recursive trees, in which trees are recursively built by attaching new vertices to old ones. In the model of uniform attachment with freezing, vertices are…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Anna Brandenberger , Simon Briend , Hannah Cairns , Robin Khanfir , Igor Kortchemski

We explore the consequences of considering clans real physical objects in the framework of a generalized version of the Simplified Parton Shower model for a single jet. We predict that the average number of clans at fixed energy grows…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Ugoccioni , A. Giovannini , S. Lupia

In 2023, Sicily faced an escalating issue of uncontrolled fires, necessitating a thorough investigation into their spatio-temporal dynamics. Our study addresses this concern through point process theory. Each wildfire is treated as a unique…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Alessandro Albano , Andrea Gilardi , Giada Adelfio

We study a class of branching processes in which the offspring distribution is not specified directly but is induced by a cycle of internal colony growth, catastrophic reduction and structured dispersal. The parameters governing growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lucas R. de Lima , Fábio P. Machado

We consider the problem of recovering items matching a partially specified pattern in multidimensional trees (quadtrees and $k$-d trees). We assume the traditional model where the data consist of independent and uniform points in the unit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Nicolas Broutin , Ralph Neininger , Henning Sulzbach