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Emerging marine infectious diseases pose a substantial threat to marine ecosystems and the conservation of their biodiversity. Compartmental models of epidemic transmission in marine sessile organisms, available only recently, are based on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-03 Àlex Giménez-Romero , Federico Vazquez , Cristóbal López , Manuel A. Matías

Vector-borne diseases arise from the coupled dynamics of human mobility and mosquito ecology, producing outbreaks shaped by both spatial distributions and temporal patterns of movement. Here we develop a coarse-grained hub--leaf reduction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-29 Bibandhan Poudyal , Gourab Ghoshal

Malaria is transmitted to vertebrates via a mosquito bite, during which rod-like and crescent-shaped parasites, called sporozoites, are injected into the skin of the host. Searching for a blood capillary to penetrate, sporozoites move…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-24 Anna Battista , Friedrich Frischknecht , Ulrich S. Schwarz

Rock-paper-scissors games metaphorically model cyclic dominance in ecology and microbiology. In a static environment, these models are characterized by fixation probabilities obeying two different "laws" in large and small well-mixed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-26 Robert West , Mauro Mobilia

Malaria is one of the most common mosquito-borne diseases widespread in tropical and subtropical regions, causing thousands of deaths every year in the world. In a previous paper, we formulated an age-structured model containing three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-24 Quentin Richard , Marc Choisy , Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse , Thierry Lefèvre

When an infection spreads in a community, an individual's probability of becoming infected depends on both her susceptibility and exposure to the contagion through contact with others. While one often has knowledge regarding an individual's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , John Guttag , Jenna Wiens

Host-to-host variability with respect to interactions between microorganisms and multicellular hosts are commonly observed in infection and in homeostasis. However, the majority of mechanistic models used in analyzing host-microorganism…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Sayak Mukherjee , Kristin E. Weimer , Sang-Cheol Seok , Will C. Ray , C. Jayaprakash , Veronica J. Vieland , W. Edward Swords , Jayajit Das

We analyze a mathematical model of the epizootic of Hantavirus in mice population, including the effect of species which compete with the host. We show that the existence of the second species has an important consequence for the prevalence…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Ignacio D. Peixoto , Guillermo Abramson

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

This work is devoted to the mathematical study of an optimization problem regarding control strategies of mosquito population in a heterogeneous environment. Mosquitoes are well-known vectors of diseases. For some diseases, such as dengue,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Luis Almeida , Jesús Bellver Arnau , Gwenaël Peltier , Nicolas Vauchelet

This paper deals with prediction of anopheles number, the main vector of malaria risk, using environmental and climate variables. The variables selection is based on an automatic machine learning method using regression trees, and random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-27 Bienvenue Kouwayè

It is estimated that around 80\% of the world's population live in areas susceptible to at-least one major vector borne disease, and approximately 20% of global communicable diseases are spread by mosquitoes. Furthermore, the outbreaks of…

The reproduction number of deterministic models is an essential quantity to predict whether an epidemic will spread or die out. Thresholds for disease extinction contribute crucial knowledge on disease control, elimination, and mitigation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-08 Ling Xue , Caterina Scoglio

The model considers the human population, the adult mosquito population and the population of immature stages, which includes eggs, larvae and pupae. The model also considers the vertical transmission of dengue in the mosquitoes and the…

Multipartite viruses replicate through a puzzling evolutionary strategy. Their genome is segmented into two or more parts, and encapsidated in separate particles that appear to propagate independently. Completing the replication cycle,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-03-26 Eugenio Valdano , Susanna Manrubia , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

We live in a time where climate models predict future increases in environmental variability and biological invasions are becoming increasingly frequent. A key to developing effective responses to biological invasions in increasingly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Maureen E. Ryan

We propose a compartmental model for vector-transmitted diseases, such as Malaria and Dengue, spreading over complex networks. Individuals are represented by independent random walkers and vectors by infected nodes. Both walkers and nodes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-05 Téo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos

Microbiomes are complex systems comprised of many interacting species. Species can survive harsh or changing conditions by rapid adaptation, a process accelerated by the exchange of genetic material between different species through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-04 Johannes Nauta , Kaitlin A. Schaal , Ying-Jie Wang , James P. J. Hall , Shai Pilosof , Manlio De Domenico

Infectious disease dynamics operate across multiple biological scales, with within-host viral dynamics being a key driver of between-host transmission. However, while models that explicitly link these scales exist, none have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

The role of direct cell-to-cell spread in viral infections - where virions spread between host and susceptible cells without needing to be secreted into the extracellular environment - has come to be understood as essential to the dynamics…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Thomas Williams , James M. McCaw , James Osborne