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Agents receive private signals about an unknown state. The resulting joint belief distributions are complex and lack a simple characterization. Our key insight is that, when conditioned on the state, the structure of belief distributions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-19 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Fedor Sandomirskiy

We introduce a variant of the $k$-nearest neighbor classifier in which $k$ is chosen adaptively for each query, rather than supplied as a parameter. The choice of $k$ depends on properties of each neighborhood, and therefore may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Akshay Balsubramani , Sanjoy Dasgupta , Yoav Freund , Shay Moran

We study the positivity and causality axioms for Markov categories as properties of dilations and information flow in Markov categories, and in variations thereof for arbitrary semicartesian monoidal categories. These help us show that…

The Hammersley-Clifford theorem states that if the support of a Markov random field has a safe symbol then it is a Gibbs state with some nearest neighbour interaction. In this paper we generalise the theorem with an added condition that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Nishant Chandgotia

In this article, we discuss a bivariate distribution whose conditionals are univariate binomial distributions and the marginals are not binomial that exhibits negative correlation. Some useful structural properties of this distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Indranil Ghosh , Filipe Marques , Subrata Chakraborty

Conditional independence and Markov properties are powerful tools allowing expression of multidimensional probability distributions by means of low-dimensional ones. As multidimensional possibilistic models have been studied for several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jirina Vejnarova

A natural way to represent beliefs and the process of updating beliefs is presented by Bayesian probability theory, where belief of an agent a in P can be interpreted as a considering that P is more probable than not P. This paper attempts…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Jan van Eijck , Kai Li

Critical points mark locations in the domain where the level-set topology of a scalar function undergoes fundamental changes and thus indicate potentially interesting features in the data. Established methods exist to locate and relate such…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Dominik Vietinghoff , Michael Böttinger , Gerik Scheuermann , Christian Heine

Recent discussion in the public sphere about algorithmic classification has involved tension between competing notions of what it means for a probabilistic classification to be fair to different groups. We formalize three fairness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Jon Kleinberg , Sendhil Mullainathan , Manish Raghavan

Estimators for mutual information are typically biased. However, in the case of the Kozachenko-Leonenko estimator for metric spaces, a type of nearest neighbour estimator, it is possible to calculate the bias explicitly.

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Jake Witter , Conor Houghton

The paper studies the notion of supposition encoded in non-Archimedean conditional probability (and revealed in the acceptance of the so-called indicative conditionals). The notion of qualitative change of view that thus arises is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Horacio Arlo-Costa

We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We propose two new measures for extracting the unique information in $X$ and not $Y$ about a message $M$, when $X, Y$ and $M$ are joint random variables with a given joint distribution. We take a Markov based approach, motivated by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Keerthana Gurushankar , Praveen Venkatesh , Pulkit Grover

When the semantics of a sentence are not representable in a semantic parser's output schema, parsing will inevitably fail. Detection of these instances is commonly treated as an out-of-domain classification problem. However, there is also a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-08-28 James Ferguson , Janara Christensen , Edward Li , Edgar Gonzàlez

Children can use the statistical regularities of their environment to learn word meanings, a mechanism known as cross-situational learning. We take a computational approach to investigate how the information present during each observation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-02-23 Aida Nematzadeh , Barend Beekhuizen , Shanshan Huang , Suzanne Stevenson

We examine problem of existence of stationary random fields with linear regressions and quadratic conditional variances, introduced by Bryc in "Stationary random fields with linear regressions" (Annals of Probability 29, No. 1, 504-519).…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wojciech Matysiak , Paweł J. Szabłowski

We derive two sufficient conditions for a function of a Markov random field (MRF) on a given graph to be a MRF on the same graph. The first condition is information-theoretic and parallels a recent information-theoretic characterization of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Bernhard C. Geiger , Ali Al-Bashabsheh

We investigate a possible definition of expectation and conditional expectation for random variables with values in a local field such as the $p$-adic numbers. We define the expectation by analogy with the observation that for real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Steven N. Evans , Tye Lidman

We define a measure of redundant information based on projections in the space of probability distributions. Redundant information between random variables is information that is shared between those variables. But in contrast to mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-05-30 Malte Harder , Christoph Salge , Daniel Polani

Conditional specification of distributions is a developing area with many applications. In the finite discrete case, a variety of compatible conditions can be derived. In this paper, we propose an alternative approach to study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-19 Indranil Ghosh , N. Balakrishnan