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The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

The aim of this paper is to compare various criteria leading to the central limit theorem and the weak invariance principle. These criteria are the martingale-coboundary decomposition developed by Gordin in Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR 188 (1969),…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Olivier Durieu , Dalibor Volný

Let $(U_n(t))_{t\in\R^d}$ be the empirical process associated to an $\R^d$-valued stationary process $(X_i)_{i\ge 0}$. We give general conditions, which only involve processes $(f(X_i))_{i\ge 0}$ for a restricted class of functions $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

In a paper from 1995, Wormald gave general criteria for certain parameters in a family of discrete random processes to converge to the solution of a system of differential equations. Based on this method, we show that if some further…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-24 Taral Guldahl Seierstad

We prove a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the non-commutative setting of random matrix products where the underlying process is driven by a subshift of finite type (SFT) with Markov measure. We use the martingale method introduced by Y.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Alex Furman , Robert Thijs Kozma

In applications it is common that the exact form of a conditional expectation is unknown and having flexible functional forms can lead to improvements. Series method offers that by approximating the unknown function based on $k$ basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

In this paper, we focus on studying central limit theorems for functionals of some specific stationary random processes. In classical probability theory, it is well-known that for non-linear functionals of stationary Gaussian sequences, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Zhichao Wang

We consider a borderline case: the central limit theorem for a strictly stationary time series with infinite variance but a Gaussian limit. In the iid case a well-known sufficient condition for this central limit theorem is regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch

A central limit theorem is established for a sum of random variables belonging to a sequence of random fields. The fields are assumed to have zero mean conditional on the past history and to satisfy certain conditional $\alpha$-mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Abdollah Jalilian , Arnaud Poinas , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

We consider a slow-fast stochastic differential system with L\'evy noise. We will employ the perturbed test function method to study the normal deviation of the slow-fast system. Our main result states that the deviation can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu , Ruifang Wang , Zhe Jiao

We present limit theorems for a sequence of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) taking values in a separable Hilbert space. This class of processes provides a rigorous framework for stochastic spatial models in which discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Martin G. Riedler , Michèle Thieullen , Gilles Wainrib

In this work, a generalised version of the central limit theorem is proposed for nonlinear functionals of the empirical measure of i.i.d. random variables, provided that the functional satisfies some regularity assumptions for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Benjamin Jourdain , Alvin Tse

Viewing a two time scale stochastic approximation scheme as a noisy discretization of a singularly perturbed differential equation, we obtain a concentration bound for its iterates that captures its behavior with quantifiable high…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Vivek S. Borkar , Sarath Pattathil

We consider a random walk on $\R^d$ in a polynomially mixing random environment that is refreshed at each time step. We use a martingale approach to give a necessary and sufficient condition for the almost-sure functional central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Mathew Joseph , Firas Rassoul-Agha

For martingales with a wide range of integrability, we will quantify the rate of convergence of the central limit theorem via Wasserstein distances of order $r$, $1\le r\le 3$. Our bounds are in terms of Lyapunov's coefficients and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Xiaoqin Guo

In this paper we derive characterizations of boundedness of the subsequences of partial sums with respect to Vilenkin system on the martingale Hardy spaces when $ 0<p<1 $. Moreover, we find necessary and sufficient conditions for the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-02-22 G. Tephnadze

The now classical convergence in distribution theorem for well normalized sums ofstationary martingale increments has been extended to multi-indexed martingaleincrements (see Voln\'{y} (2019) and references in there). In the presentarticle…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Davide Giraudo , Emmanuel Lesigne , Dalibor Volny

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

The approximation of integral type functionals is studied for discrete observations of a continuous It\^o semimartingale. Based on novel approximations in the Fourier domain, central limit theorems are proved for $L^2$-Sobolev functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Randolf Altmeyer