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Inferring a cause from its effect using observed time series data is a major challenge in natural and social sciences. Assuming the effect is generated by the cause trough a linear system, we propose a new approach based on the hypothesis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Naji Shajarisales , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Shoelkopf , Michel Besserve

In this paper we study a class of semilinear wave type equations with viscoelastic damping and delay feedback with time variable coefficient. By combining semigroup arguments, careful energy estimates and an iterative approach we are able…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Alessandro Paolucci , Cristina Pignotti

Exploring causal relationships in stochastic time series is a challenging yet crucial task with a vast range of applications, including finance, economics, neuroscience, and climate science. Many algorithms for Causal Discovery (CD) have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Matteo Tusoni , Giuseppe Masi , Andrea Coletta , Aldo Glielmo , Viviana Arrigoni , Novella Bartolini

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

The subject of the article is linear systems of wave equations on cosmological backgrounds with convergent asymptotics. The condition of convergence corresponds to the requirement that the second fundamental form, when suitably normalised,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-01-14 Hans Ringström

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Inferring causal structures from time series data is the central interest of many scientific inquiries. A major barrier to such inference is the problem of subsampling, i.e., the frequency of measurement is much lower than that of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Lingjing Hu , Yizhou Wang

A physical data (such as astrophysical, geophysical, meteorological etc.) may appear as an output of an experiment or it may come out as a signal from a dynamical system or it may contain some sociological, economic or biological…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Koushik Ghosh , Probhas Raychaudhuri

In this paper we prove a rate of convergence for the continuous time filtering solution of a multiple timescale correlated nonlinear system to a lower dimensional filtering equation in the limit of large timescale separation. Correlation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Ryne Beeson , N. Sri Namachchivaya , Nicolas Perkowski

Filters whose porosity decreases with depth are often more efficient at removing solute from a fluid than filters with a uniform porosity. We investigate this phenomenon via an extension of homogenization theory that accounts for a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-02-11 Mohit P. Dalwadi , Ian M. Griffiths , Maria Bruna

The data functions that are studied in the course of functional data analysis are assembled from discrete data, and the level of smoothing that is used is generally that which is appropriate for accurate approximation of the conceptually…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Raymond J. Carroll , Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall

In the theory of causal fermion systems, the physical equations are obtained as the Euler-Lagrange equations of a causal variational principle. Studying families of critical measures of causal variational principles, a class of conserved…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-01-15 Felix Finster , Johannes Kleiner

We examine the problem of time delay estimation, or temporal calibration, in the context of multisensor data fusion. Differences in processing intervals and other factors typically lead to a relative delay between measurement updates from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-18 Jonathan Kelly , Christopher Grebe , Matthew Giamou

Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and…

Complex dynamical systems are prevalent in many scientific disciplines. In the analysis of such systems two aspects are of particular interest: 1) the temporal patterns along which they evolve and 2) the underlying causal mechanisms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-31 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

In this paper we review important aspects of semiparametric theory and empirical processes that arise in causal inference problems. We begin with a brief introduction to the general problem of causal inference, and go on to discuss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Edward H. Kennedy

Symmetries as well as other special conditions can cause anomalous slowing down of fidelity decay. These situations will be characterized, and a family of random matrix models to emulate them generically presented. An analytic solution…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 T. Gorin , H. Kohler , T. Prosen , T. H. Seligman , H. -J. Stoeckmann , M. Znidaric

The paper focuses on the adaptation of local polynomial filters at the end of the sample period. We show that for real time estimation of signals (i.e., exactly at the boundary of the time support) we cannot rely on the automatic adaptation…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-28 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandra Luati

In real-world applications, observations are often constrained to a small fraction of a system. Such spatial subsampling can be caused by the inaccessibility or the sheer size of the system, and cannot be overcome by longer sampling.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-02 Anna Levina , Viola Priesemann