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Related papers: Solar Cycle Prediction

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In addition to the Gnevyshev-Ohl rule (GOR), the relation of the odd cycle with the subsequent even one in the 22-year Hale solar cycle was found. It is shown that 3 years before the 11-year minimum $m$, the value of the relative sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-02 Yu. A. Nagovitsyn , V. G. Ivanov

Aims. The Sun shows strong variability in its magnetic activity, from Grand minima to Grand maxima, but the nature of the variability is not fully understood, mostly because of the insufficient length of the directly observed solar activity…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-02-24 I. G. Usoskin , G. Hulot , Y. Gallet , R. Roth , A. Licht , F. Joos , G. A. Kovaltsov , E. Thebault , A. Khokhlov

We present an alternate method of determining the progression of the solar cycle through an analysis of the solar X-ray background. Our results are based on the NOAA Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) X-ray data in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 L. M. Winter , K. S. Balasubramaniam

The slopes of the linear relations between sunspot and white light (WL) facular areas at the onset of sunspot Cycles 12-21 correlate well with the amplitudes of those cycles between 1878-1980 (Brown and Evans, 1980). We use continuum images…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-10 Peter Foukal

This work investigates the solar quasi-periodic cycles with multi-timescales and the possible relationships with planetary motions. The solar cycles are derived from long-term observations of the relative sunspot number and microwave…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-16 Baolin Tan , Zhuo Cheng

Magnetic activity cycles are an important phenomenon in both the Sun and other stars. The shape of the solar cycle is commonly characterised by a fast rise and a slower decline, but not much attention has been paid to the shape of cycles in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-01 T. Willamo , T. Hackman , J. J. Lehtinen , M. J. Käpylä , N. Olspert , M. Viviani , J. Warnecke

The solar interior is probed by the properties of the Sun's acoustic oscillations (p-modes) observed on the solar surface. The frequencies of these p-modes measured in the last three decades show long term variation similar to the 11 year…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-23 Rekha Jain , Akash Kumar , Sushanta C. Tripathy

The record of solar activity is reviewed here with emphasis on peculiarities. Since sunspot positions tell us a lot more about the solar dynamo than the various global sunspot numbers, we first focus on the records of telescopic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 R. Arlt , N. Weiss

The unexpected development of cycle 24 emphasizes the need for a better way to model future solar activity. In this article, we analyze the accumulation of spotless days during individual cycles from 1798-2010. The analysis shows that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-04-27 M. Lindholm Nielsen , H. Kjeldsen

Context. Solar activity, dominated by the 11-year cyclic evolution, has been observed directly since 1610. Before that, indirect cosmogenic proxy data are used to reconstruct it over millennia. Recently, the precision of radiocarbon…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ilya Usoskin , Sami K. Solanki , Natalie A. Krivova , Theodosis Chatzistergos

Through meticulous daily observation of the Sun's large-scale magnetic field the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) has catalogued two magnetic (Hale) cycles of solar activity. Those two (~22-year long) Hale cycles have yielded four…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-15 Scott W. McIntosh , Phillip H. Scherrer , Leif Svalgaard , Robert J. Leamon

Using different proxies of solar activity, we have studied the following features of solar cycle. (i) A linear correlation between the amplitude of cycle and its decay rate, (ii) a linear correlation between the amplitude of cycle $n$ and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 Gopal Hazra , Bidya Binay Karak , Dipankar Banerjee , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

The present paper reviews results derived from statistical studies on solar activity indices. The prolonged minimum phase of cycle 23 raised the question of peculiarities inherent in cycle 23. The most important solar activity index is the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-03 M. Temmer

The parameter G, which is determined from the general number of sunspots groups Ng according to the daily observations G=Sum(1/Ng)^2, is offered. This parameter is calculated for the days when there is at least one sunspots group. It…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-06-13 A. G. Tlatov

The solar cycle is a complex phenomenon. To comprehensively understand it, we have to study various tracers. The most important component of this complex is the solar dynamo, which is understood as self-excitation of the solar magnetic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-10 V. N. Obridko , A. S. Shibalova , D. D. Sokoloff

We discuss a prediction of the solar activity on a short time-scale applying the method based on a combination of a nonlinear mean-field dynamo model and the artificial neural network. The artificial neural network which serves as a…

We describe the defining observations of the solar cycle that provide constraints for the dynamo processes operating within the Sun. Specifically, we report on the following topics: historical sunspot numbers and revisions; active region…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-29 Aimee Norton , Rachel Howe , Lisa Upton , Ilya Usoskin

The solar activity in the current, that is, the 24-th, sunspot cycle is analyzed. Cyclic variations in the sunspot number (SSN) and radiation fluxes in various spectral ranges have been estimated in comparison with the general level of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-01 E. A. Bruevich , V. V. Bruevich , G. V. Yakunina

The solar magnetic activity cycle is responsible for periodic episodes of severe space weather, which can perturb satellite orbits, interfere with communications systems, and bring down power grids. Much progress has recently been made in…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 T. S. Metcalfe , T. J. Henry , M. Knolker , D. R. Soderblom

We apply a complex network approach to analyse the time series of five solar parameters, and propose an strategy to predict the number of sunspots for the next solar maximum, and when will this maximum will occur. The approach is based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-18 Eduardo Flandez , Victor Munoz