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Cosmological analyses can be accelerated by approximating slow calculations using a training set, which is either precomputed or generated dynamically. However, this approach is only safe if the approximations are well understood and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-03 Grigor Aslanyan , Richard Easther , Layne C. Price

In recent decades, a number of profound theorems concerning approximation of hard counting problems have appeared. These include estimation of the permanent, estimating the volume of a convex polyhedron, and counting (approximately) the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Isabel Beichl , Alathea Jensen

Bayesian parameter estimation on gravitational waves from compact binary coalescences (CBCs) typically requires millions of template waveform computations at different values of the parameters describing the binary. Sampling techniques such…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2014-09-05 Rory Smith , Chad Hanna , Ilya Mandel , Alberto Vecchio

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

Higher-order Markov chains play a very important role in many fields, ranging from multilinear PageRank to financial modeling. In this paper, we propose three accelerated higher-order power methods for computing the limiting probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Gaohang Yu , Yi Zhou , Laishui Lv

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide powerful framework for sampling unknown probability measures across a wide range of scientific applications. In some settings, the target distribution is supported on a lower-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Xuyuan Wang , Donglin Han

Most successful applications of deep learning involve similar training and test conditions. However, tasks such as biological sequence design involve searching for sequences that improve desirable properties beyond previously known values,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Sophia Hager , Aleem Khan , Andrew Wang , Nicholas Andrews

The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is the computational workhorse for Bayesian inverse problems. However, MCMC struggles in high-dimensional parameter spaces, since its iterates must sequentially explore the high-dimensional space.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Paul G. Constantine , Carson Kent , Tan Bui-Thanh

We introduce Preconditioned Monte Carlo (PMC), a novel Monte Carlo method for Bayesian inference that facilitates efficient sampling of probability distributions with non-trivial geometry. PMC utilises a Normalising Flow (NF) in order to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-24 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , David Nabergoj , Uros Seljak

Many problems in the physical sciences, machine learning, and statistical inference necessitate sampling from a high-dimensional, multi-modal probability distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, the ubiquitous tool for this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-12 Marylou Gabrié , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

We study the benefits and limits of parallelised Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling in cosmology. MCMC methods are widely used for the estimation of cosmological parameters from a given set of observations and are typically based on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-03 Joël Akeret , Sebastian Seehars , Adam Amara , Alexandre Refregier , André Csillaghy

We present a Bayesian sampling algorithm called adaptive importance sampling or Population Monte Carlo (PMC), whose computational workload is easily parallelizable and thus has the potential to considerably reduce the wall-clock time…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-02 Darren Wraith , Martin Kilbinger , Karim Benabed , Olivier Cappé , Jean-François Cardoso , Gersende Fort , Simon Prunet , Christian P. Robert

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

We present a new approach to parameter inference targeted on generic situations where the evaluation of the likelihood $\mathcal{L}$ (i.e., the probability to observe the data given a fixed model configuration) is numerically expensive.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-18 Aseem Paranjape

Global fits of physics models require efficient methods for exploring high-dimensional and/or multimodal posterior functions. We introduce a novel method for accelerating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by pairing a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-09-06 N. T. Hunt-Smith , W. Melnitchouk , F. Ringer , N. Sato , A. W Thomas , M. J. White

We address the problem of likelihood based inference for correlated diffusion processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Such a task presents two interesting problems. First, the construction of the MCMC scheme should…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Gareth O. Roberts

Modern cosmological analyses constrain physical parameters using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or similar sampling techniques. Oftentimes, these techniques are computationally expensive to run and require up to thousands of CPU hours to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Thomas McClintock , Eduardo Rozo

We present an efficient algorithm for the inference of stochastic block models in large networks. The algorithm can be used as an optimized Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, with a fast mixing time and a much reduced susceptibility to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-14 Tiago P. Peixoto

We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-08 Daniel F. Linder , Grzegorz A. Rempala