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Many causal models of interest in epidemiology involve longitudinal exposures, confounders and mediators. However, repeated measurements are not always available or used in practice, leading analysts to overlook the time-varying nature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Lola Etievant , Vivian Viallon

This paper presents an in-depth mathematical analysis of the Monte Carlo replica method, commonly used in global fitting studies within the high-energy physics theory field. For the first time, we offer a rigorous derivation of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-10-10 Mark N. Costantini

Using renormalization group methods we study multifractality in directed percolation. Our approach is based on random lattice networks consisting of resistor like and diode like bonds with microscopic noise. These random resistor diode…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Olaf Stenull , Hans-Karl Janssen

A new modeling framework for bipartite social networks arising from a sequence of partially time-ordered relational events is proposed. We directly model the joint distribution of the binary variables indicating if each single actor is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Francesco Bartolucci , Antonietta Mira , Stefano Peluso

The phase diagram of the metal-insulator transition in a three dimensional quantum percolation problem is investigated numerically based on the multifractal analysis of the eigenstates. The large scale numerical simulation has been…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-11-26 Laszlo Ujfalusi , Imre Varga

Multifractal scaling has been extensively studied for real-valued stochastic processes, but a systematic integer-valued analogue has remained largely unexplored. In this work, we introduce a multifractal framework for integer-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Danijel Grahovac

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

The Boltzmann-Gibbs probability distributions generated by logarithmically correlated random potentials provide a simple yet nontrivial example of disorder-induced multifractal measures. We introduce and discuss two analytically tractable…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-14 Yan V Fyodorov

We demonstrate that by considering disordered single-particle Hamiltonians (or their random matrix versions) on ultrametric spaces one can generate an interesting class of models exhibiting Anderson metal-insulator transition. We use the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 Y. V. Fyodorov , A. Ossipov , A. Rodriguez

The scaling behavior of linear polymers in disordered media modelled by self-avoiding random walks (SAWs) on the backbone of two- and three-dimensional percolation clusters at their critical concentrations p_c is studied. All possible SAW…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Ordemann , M. Porto , H. E. Roman , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

The impact of the third (skewness) and fourth (kurtosis) reduced centered moments on the statistical modeling of E1 lines in complex atomic spectra is investigated through the use of Gram-Charlier, Normal Inverse Gaussian and Generalized…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Jean-Christophe Pain , Franck Gilleron , Jacques Bauche , Claire Bauche-Arnoult

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

This paper studies a statistical network model generated by a large number of randomly sized overlapping communities, where any pair of nodes sharing a community is linked with probability $q$ via the community. In the special case with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Joona Karjalainen , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden , Lasse Leskelä

We study the behavior of the random walk in a continuum independent long-range percolation model, in which two given vertices $x$ and $y$ are connected with probability that asymptotically behaves like $|x-y|^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha>d$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Ercan Sönmez , Arnaud Rousselle

We present a sample path dependent measure of causal influence between two time series. The proposed measure is a random variable whose expected sum is the directed information. A realization of the proposed measure may be used to identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-15 Gabriel Schamberg , Todd P. Coleman

The moments of the hadronic spectral functions are of interest for the extraction of the strong coupling $\alpha_s$ and other QCD parameters from the hadronic decays of the $\tau$ lepton. Motivated by the recent analyses of a large class of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2013-08-26 Gauhar Abbas , B. Ananthanarayan , Irinel Caprini , Jan Fischer

This work extends causal inference with stochastic confounders. We propose a new approach to variational estimation for causal inference based on a representer theorem with a random input space. We estimate causal effects involving latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Thanh Vinh Vo , Pengfei Wei , Wicher Bergsma , Tze-Yun Leong

Precise modelling of a signal in processes with multiple observables, exhibiting a complex dependency on the underlying parameters, is often a difficult and challenging task. Predicting the results of experimental measurements in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-16 Nikita Belyaev , Rostislav Konoplich , Kirill Prokofiev

We focus on the importance of $q$ moments range used within multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) to calculate the generalized Hurst exponent spread and multifractal properties of signals. Different orders of detrending…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-26 Grzegorz Pamuła , Dariusz Grech

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts