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In various disordered systems or non-equilibrium dynamical models, the large deviations of some observables have been found to display different scalings for rare values bigger or smaller than the typical value. In the present paper, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

We derive general results on the small deviation behavior for some classes of iterated processes. This allows us, in particular, to calculate the rate of the small deviations for $n$-iterated Brownian motions and, more generally, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

We consider the winding number of planar stationary Gaussian processes defined on the line. Under mild conditions, we obtain the asymptotic variance and the Central Limit Theorem for the winding number as the time horizon tends to infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , José R. León

We study large deviation asymptotics for processes defined in terms of continued fraction digits. We use the continued fraction digit sum process to define a stopping time and derive a joint large deviation asymptotic for the upper and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-19 Marc Kesseböhmer , Mehdi Slassi

We consider an irreducible continuous time Markov chain on a finite state space and with time periodic jump rates and prove the joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and flow and the joint large deviation principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 L. Bertini , R. Chetrite , A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

We consider a system of stochastic interacting particles in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and we describe large deviations asymptotics in a joint mean-field and small-noise limit. Precisely, a large deviations principle (LDP) is established for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Carlo Orrieri

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for samples problem based on the functional empirical process (fep), this new method is called general samples problem. We suggest this method to develop the full theory of estimation of means,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Abdoulaye Camara , Adja Mbarka Fall , Moumouni Diallo , Gane Samb Lo

It is common practice to treat small jumps of L\'evy processes as Wiener noise and thus to approximate its marginals by a Gaussian distribution. However, results that allow to quantify the goodness of this approximation according to a given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Alexandra Carpentier , Céline Duval , Ester Mariucci

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We study the large deviations for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes with small noise and state-dependent fast switching via associated Hamilton-Jacobi equations. As the separation of time scales, when the noise goes to $0$ and the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Yanyan Hu , Richard C. Kraaij , Fubao Xi

We establish, under the Cramer exponential moment condition in a neighbourhood of zero, the Extended Large Deviation Principle for the Random Walk and the Compound Poisson processes in the metric space $\V$ of functions of finite variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 F. C. Klebaner , A. A. Mogulskii

Gaussian processes can be treated as subsets of a standard Hilbert space, however, the volume size relation between the underlying index space of random processes and its convex hull is not clear. The understanding of such volume size…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Shih-Yu Chang

We characterize the possible moments of entropy production for general overdamped Markovian systems. We find a general formulation of the problem, and derive a new necessary condition between the second and third moment. We determine all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-02 Jean-Charles Delvenne , Léopold Van Brandt

We prove a large-deviation principle (LDP) for the sample paths of jump Markov processes in the small noise limit when, possibly, all the jump rates vanish uniformly, but slowly enough, in a region of the state space. We further discuss the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Andrea Agazzi , Luisa Andreis , Robert I. A. Patterson , D. R. Michiel Renger

We study large deviations, over a long time window $T \to \infty$, of the dynamical observables $A_n = \int_{0}^{T} x^n(t) dt$, $n=3,4,\dots$, where $x(t)$ is a centered stationary Gaussian process in continuous time. We show that, for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-01 Alexander Valov , Baruch Meerson

In this work, we study large deviation properties of the covariance process in fully connected Gaussian deep neural networks. More precisely, we establish a large deviation principle (LDP) for the covariance process in a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Luisa Andreis , Federico Bassetti , Christian Hirsch

We consider the following frustrated optimization problem: given a prior probability distribution $q$, find the distribution $p$ minimizing the relative entropy with respect to $q$ such that $\textrm{mean}(p)$ is fixed and large. We show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-06 Matteo Smerlak

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible class of priors for nonparametric Bayesian regression, but popular GP posterior inference methods are typically prohibitively slow or lack desirable finite-data guarantees on quality. We develop an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-28 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

We introduce the concept of numerical Gaussian processes, which we define as Gaussian processes with covariance functions resulting from temporal discretization of time-dependent partial differential equations. Numerical Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-31 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

In \cite{FTD1}, we proved the almost sure convergence of eigenvalues of the SYK model, which can be viewed as a type of \emph{law of large numbers} in probability theory; in \cite{FTD2}, we proved that the linear statistic of eigenvalues…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-06-17 Renjie Feng , Gang Tian , Dongyi Wei
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