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Related papers: Neural Network Prediction of solar cycle 24

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Solar activity has significant impacts on human activities and health. One most commonly used measure of solar activity is the sunspot number. This paper compares three important non-deep learning models, four popular deep learning models,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-26 Yuchen Dang , Ziqi Chen , Heng Li , Hai Shu

We could infer a secular decreasing trend in the poloidal to toroidal solar magnetic flux amplification factor ( Af) using geomagnetic observations ( classic and IHV corrected aa indices) during the sunspot cycles 9-23. A similar decreasing…

General Physics · Physics 2010-12-23 T. E. Girish , G. Gopkumar

After reviewing potential early indicators of an upcoming solar cycle at high latitudes, we focus attention on the rush-to-the-poles (RTTP) phenomenon in coronal green line emission. Considering various correlations between properties of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-18 K. Petrovay , M. Nagy , T. Gerják , L. Juhász

We have obtained empirical relations between the p-mode frequency shift and the change in solar activity indices. The empirical relations are determined on the basis of frequencies obtained from BBSO and GONG stations during solar cycle 22.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Kiran Jain , S. C. Tripathy , A. Bhatnagar , B. Kumar

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

Sunspot Cycle 25 over 3 years past the cycle minimum of December 2019. At this point, curve-fitting becomes reliable and consistently indicates a maximum sunspot number of 135+/-10 - slightly larger than Cycle 24's maximum of 116.4, but…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-02 Lisa A. Upton , David H. Hathaway

The non-stationarity characteristic of the solar power renders traditional point forecasting methods to be less useful due to large prediction errors. This results in increased uncertainties in the grid operation, thereby negatively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Sunspot numbers provide the longest continuous record of solar activity and remain a key index for heliophysical research and space-weather applications. Standard sunspot determination relies on visual inspection and algorithmic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-25 Fabian C. Quintero-Pareja , Diederik A. Montano-Burbano , Santiago Quintero-Pareja , D. Sierra-Porta

We present the assessment of a diffusion-dominated mean field axisymmetric dynamo model in reproducing historical solar activity and forecast for solar cycle 25. Previous studies point to the Sun's polar magnetic field as an important proxy…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-29 Alejandro Macario-Rojas , Katharine L. Smith , Peter C. E. Roberts

Previous studies on the impact and influence of solar activity on terrestrial weather has yielded contradictory results in literature. Present study presents, on a global scale, the correlation between surface air temperature and two solar…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-30 S. T. Ogunjo , A. B. Rabiu

In the previous study (Hiremath 2006a), the solar cycle is modeled as a forced and damped harmonic oscillator and from all the 22 cycles (1755-1996), long-term amplitudes, frequencies, phases and decay factor are obtained. Using these…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. M. Hiremath

In this paper, solar cycles 21 to 24 were compared using complex network analysis. A network was constructed for these four solar cycles to facilitate the comparison. In these networks, the nodes represent the active regions of the Sun that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-17 Eduardo Flández , Alejandro Zamorano , Víctor Muñoz

The data of sunspot numbers, sunspot areas and solar flare index during cycle 23 are analyzed to investigate the intermediate-term periodicities. Power spectral analysis has been performed separately for the data of the whole disk, northern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-16 Bhuwan Joshi , P. Pant , P. K. Manoharan

The problem of prediction of a given time series is examined on the basis of recent nonlinear dynamics theories. Particular attention is devoted to forecast the amplitude and phase of one of the most common solar indicator activity, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Stefano Sello

Solar flares occur in complex sunspot groups, but it remains unclear how the probability of producing a flare of a given magnitude relates to the characteristics of the sunspot group. Here, we use Geostationary Operational Environmental…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-28 D. Shaun Bloomfield , Paul A. Higgins , R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher

In addition to the Gnevyshev-Ohl rule (GOR), the relation of the odd cycle with the subsequent even one in the 22-year Hale solar cycle was found. It is shown that 3 years before the 11-year minimum $m$, the value of the relative sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-02 Yu. A. Nagovitsyn , V. G. Ivanov

Prediction of the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events garner increasing interest as space missions extend beyond Earth's protective magnetosphere. These events, which are, in most cases, products of magnetic reconnection-driven processes…

The "extended" solar cycle 24 began in 1999 near 70 degrees latitude, similarly to cycle 23 in 1989 and cycle 22 in 1979. The extended cycle is manifested by persistent Fe XIV coronal emission appearing near 70 degrees latitude and slowly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-08-20 Richard C. Altrock

The study of variations in solar activity is important for understanding the underlying mechanism of solar activity and for predicting the level of activity in view of the activity impact on space weather and global climate. Here we have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 J. Javaraiah

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…