Related papers: Finitely additive equivalent martingale measures

We consider probabilistic automata on infinite words with acceptance defined by parity conditions. We consider three qualitative decision problems: (i) the positive decision problem asks whether there is a word that is accepted with…

A sufficient geometrical condition for the existence of absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for S-unimodal maps will be discussed. The Lebesgue typical existence of such measures in the quadratic family will be a…

Let $(X,\mathcal{B},P)$ be a probability space and $\mathit{a}$ be a sub $\sigma$-field that is generated by an increasing sequence of sub $\sigma$-fields $(\mathit{a}_{n})_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$. Given $\theta \in \Theta$, where $\Theta$ is…

We give an explicit description of the law of terminal value $W$ of additive martingales in a remarkable branching stable process. We show that the right tail probability of the terminal value decays exponentially fast and the left tail…

Assume that $(X,f)$ is a dynamical system and $\phi:X \to [-\infty, \infty)$ is a potential such that the $f$-invariant measure $\mu_\phi$ equivalent to $\phi$-conformal measure is infinite, but that there is an inducing scheme $F = f^\tau$…

We prove that if (X,\mathfrakA,P) is an arbitrary probability space with countably generated \sigma-algebra \mathfrakA, (Y,\mathfrakB,Q) is an arbitrary complete probability space with a lifting \rho and \hat R is a complete probability…

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{A}, \mu)$ be a probability space. The classical Borel-Cantelli Lemma states that for any sequence of $\mu$-measurable sets $E_i$ ($i=1,2,3,\dots$), if the sum of their measures converges then the corresponding…

We consider a random walk on $\R^d$ in a polynomially mixing random environment that is refreshed at each time step. We use a martingale approach to give a necessary and sufficient condition for the almost-sure functional central limit…

We consider \textit{additive spaces}, consisting of two intervals of unit length or two general probability measures on ${\mathbb R}^1$, positioned on the axes in ${\mathbb R}^2$, with a natural additive measure $\rho$. We study the…

If a function $f$, acting on a Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^n$, is "almost" orthogonally additive in the sense that $f(x+y)=f(x)+f(y)$ for all $(x,y)\in\bot\setminus Z$, where $Z$ is a "negligible" subset of the $(2n-1)$-dimensional manifold…

We study the question, ``For which reals $x$ does there exist a measure $\mu$ such that $x$ is random relative to $\mu$?'' We show that for every nonrecursive $x$, there is a measure which makes $x$ random without concentrating on $x$. We…

Let $X$ be a (real or complex) infinite dimensional linear space. We establish conditions on a homogeneous polynomial $P$ on $X$ so that, if $W$ is any finite dimensional subspace of $X$ on which $P$ vanishes, then $P$ vanishes on an…

For a $d$-dimensional stochastic process $(S_n)_{n=0}^N$ we obtain criteria for the existence of an equivalent martingale measure, whose density $z$, up to a normalizing constant, is bounded from below by a given random variable $f$. We…

From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…

In this article we show that a large class of infinite measure preserving dynamical systems that do not admit physical measures nevertheless exhibit strong statistical properties. In particular, we give sufficient conditions for existence…

In this paper, lower bounds on the probability of a finite union of events are considered, i.e. $P\left(\bigcup_{i=1}^N A_i\right)$, in terms of the individual event probabilities $\{P(A_i), i=1,\ldots,N\}$ and the sums of the pairwise…

In this note, we show that the limiting spectral distribution of symmetric random matrices with stationary entries is absolutely continuous under some sufficient conditions. This result is applied to obtain sufficient conditions on a…

This paper deals with (finite or infinite) sequences of arbitrary independent events in some probability space. We find sharp lower bounds for the probability of a union of such events when the sum of their probabilities is given. The…

We consider testing a composite null hypothesis $\mathcal{P}$ against a point alternative $\mathsf{Q}$ using e-variables, which are nonnegative random variables $X$ such that $\mathbb{E}_\mathsf{P}[X] \leq 1$ for every $\mathsf{P} \in…

We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…