Related papers: Finitely additive equivalent martingale measures
We prove explicit finite-$N$ lower bounds for $\mathbb P(\bigcup_{k=1}^N A_k)$ when the $\sigma$-algebras generated by an event sequence satisfy quantitative $\varphi$- or $\alpha$-mixing bounds. The main $\varphi$-mixing estimate is…
Suppose $X$ is a compact Hausdorff space. In terms of topolocical properties of $X$, we find topological conditions on $X$ that are equivalent to each of the following: 1. every additive local multiplication on $C\left( X\right) $ is a…
We consider a complete probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$, which is endowed with two filtrations, $\mathbb{G}$ and $\mathbb{F}$, assumed to satisfy the usual conditions and such that $\mathbb{F} \subset \mathbb{G}$. On this…
This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative…
In this paper, we define finitely additive, probability and modular functions over semiring-like structures. We investigate finitely additive functions with the help of complemented elements of a semiring. We also generalize some classical…
We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) $X=\{X_t\}_{t\geqslant 0}$ with measure-valued generator $\mathcal{A}$, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily…
We prove in particular that the Lipschitz-free space over a finitely-dimensional normed space is complemented in its bidual. For Euclidean spaces the norm of the respective projection is $1$. As a tool to obtain the main result we establish…
Given a composite null $ \mathcal P$ and composite alternative $ \mathcal Q$, when and how can we construct a p-value whose distribution is exactly uniform under the null, and stochastically smaller than uniform under the alternative?…
An important question for a probabilistic program is whether the probability mass of all its diverging runs is zero, that is that it terminates "almost surely". Proving that can be hard, and this paper presents a new method for doing so; it…
In this work we provide a way to introduce a probability measure on the space of minimal fillings of finite additive metric spaces as well as an algorithm for its computation. The values of probability, got from the analytical solution,…
We provide, under minimal continuity assumptions, a description of \textsl{additive partition entropies}. They are real functions $I$ on the set of finite partitions that are additive on stochastically independent partitions in a given…
The concept of finitely additive supermartingales, originally due to Bochner, is revived and developed. We exploit it to study measure decompositions over filtered probability spaces and the properties of the associated Dol\'{e}ans-Dade…
Is this paper we study penalisations of diffusions satisfying some technical conditions, generalizing a result obtained by Najnudel, Roynette and Yor. If one of these diffusions has probability distribution $\mathbb{P}$, then our result can…
We investigate the supports of extremal martingale measures with pre-specified marginals in a two-period setting. First, we establish in full generality the equivalence between the extremality of a given measure $Q$ and the denseness in…
In this paper, we associate, to any submartingale of class $(\Sigma)$, defined on a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}, (\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0})$, which satisfies some technical conditions, a $\sigma$-finite…
We consider a change of measure by a martingale $Z_t$ and clarify that in general $1/Z_t$ is only a supermartingale under the changed measure. We then give a necessary and sufficient condition for the event that the limit of the martingale…
Let $\{A_n\}_{n=1}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of events on a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbf{P})$. We show that if $\lim_{m\to\infty}\sum_{n=1}^{m}w_n\mathbf{P}(A_n)=\infty$ where each $w_n\in\mathbb{R}$, then…
We present necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a countably additive measure on a complete Boolean algebra.
Consider additive functionals of a Markov chain $W_k$, with stationary (marginal) distribution and transition function denoted by $\pi$ and $Q$, say $S_n=g(W_1)+...+g(W_n)$, where $g$ is square integrable and has mean 0 with respect to…
The almost sure convergence of ergodic averages in Birkhoff's pointwise ergodic theorem is known to fail in the finitely additive setting. We introduce a natural reformulation of almost sure convergence suitable for finitely additive…