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We study a generalised model of population growth in which the state variable is population growth rate instead of population size. Stochastic parametric perturbations, modelling phenotypic variability, lead to a Langevin system with two…
Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…
Stochastic processes wherein the size of the state space is changing as a function of time offer models for the emergence of scale-invariant features observed in complex systems. I consider such a sample-space reducing (SSR) stochastic…
We investigate simultaneous effects of finite system size and global charge conservation on thermal fluctuations in the vicinity of a critical point. For that we consider a finite interacting system which exchanges particles with a finite…
Koopman operator theory is a key tool in data assimilation of complex dynamical systems, with the potential to be applied to multimodal data. We formulate the problem of learning Koopman eigenfunctions from observations at arbitrary,…
Recently, we developed a theory of a geometrically growing system. Here we show that the theory can explain some phenomena of power-law distribution including classical demographic and economic and novel pandemic instances, without…
Hamiltonian systems with long-range interactions give rise to long lived out of equilibrium macroscopic states, so-called quasi-stationary states. We show here that, in a suitably generalized form, this result remains valid for many such…
In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…
Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithms are a class of iterative procedures for computationally-efficient estimation in high-dimensional inference and estimation tasks. Due to the presence of an 'Onsager' correction term in its…
We propose a method to derive the stationary size distributions of a system, and the degree distributions of networks, using maximisation of the Gibbs-Shannon entropy. We apply this to a preferential attachment-type algorithm for systems of…
Local expansion exponents for nonequilibrium dynamical systems, described by partial differential equations, are introduced. These exponents show whether the system phase volume expands, contracts, or is conserved in time. The ways of…
This paper presents a unified framework to understand the dynamics of message-passing algorithms in compressed sensing. State evolution is rigorously analyzed for a general error model that contains the error model of approximate…
Complex systems can be characterized by classes of equivalency of their elements defined according to system specific rules. We propose a generalized preferential attachment model to describe the class size distribution. The model…
The study of complex systems is limited by the fact that only few variables are accessible for modeling and sampling, which are not necessarily the most relevant ones to explain the systems behavior. In addition, empirical data typically…
Different statistical samples (e.g., from different locations) offer populations and learning systems observations with distinct statistical properties. Samples under (1) 'Unconfounded' growth preserve systems' ability to determine the…
Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…
We carry out an analytic investigation of stochastic oscillations in a susceptible-infected-recovered model of disease spread on a network of $n$ cities. In the model a fraction $f_{jk}$ of individuals from city $k$ commute to city $j$,…
We calculate the optimal solutions of the fully heterogeneous Von Neumann expansion problem with $N$ processes and $P$ goods in the limit $N\to\infty$. This model provides an elementary description of the growth of a production economy in…
A one dimensional non-equilibrium stochastic model is proposed where each site of the lattice is occupied by a particle, which may be of type A or B. The time evolution of the model occurs through three processes: autocatalytic generation…
This paper deals with the state estimation of linear time-invariant systems using distributed observers with local sampled-data measurement and aperiodic communication. Each observer agent perceives partial information of the system to be…