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Spectroscopic observations of the chemical abundances in metal-poor H II regions provide an independent method for estimating the primordial helium abundance. H II regions are described by several physical parameters such as electron…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Erik Aver , Keith A. Olive , Evan D. Skillman

Traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods suffer from low acceptance rate, slow mixing and low efficiency in high dimensions. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo resolves this issue by avoiding the random walk. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Amir Hajian

Observations of metal-poor extragalactic H II regions allow the determination of the primordial helium abundance, Y_p. The He I emissivities are the foundation of the model of the H II region's emission. Porter, Ferland, Storey, & Detisch…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Erik Aver , Keith A. Olive , R. L. Porter , Evan D. Skillman

Tests of big bang nucleosynthesis and early universe cosmology require precision measurements for helium abundance determinations. However, efforts to determine the primordial helium abundance via observations of metal poor H II regions…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Erik Aver , Keith A. Olive , Evan D. Skillman

This paper considers Bayesian parameter estimation of dynamic systems using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. The Metroplis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is employed, and the main contribution of the paper is to examine and illustrate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-18 Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness , Johan Dahlin

In this paper, we put constraints on neutrino properties such as mass $m_{\nu}$ and degeneracy parameters $\xi_i$ from WMAP5 data and light element abundances by using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. In order to take…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2009-07-22 Maresuke Shiraishi , Kazuhide Ichikawa , Kiyotomo Ichiki , Naoshi Sugiyama , Masahide Yamaguchi

Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of hidden Markov models (HMMs) involves latent states underlying an imperfect observation process, and generates posterior samples for top-level parameters concurrently with nuisance…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-13 Daniel Turek , Perry de Valpine , Christopher J. Paciorek

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods are widely applied in Bayesian inference, system simulation and optimization problems. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a well-known class of MC methods which generate a Markov chain with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira

We introduce a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm with parallel tempering for fitting theoretical models of horizon-scale images of black holes to the interferometric data from the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT). The algorithm…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-20 Dimitrios Psaltis , Feryal Ozel , Lia Medeiros , Pierre Christian , Junhan Kim , Chi-kwan Chan , Landen J. Conway , Carolyn A. Raithel , Dan Marrone , Tod R. Lauer

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have become a cornerstone of many modern scientific analyses by providing a straightforward approach to numerically estimate uncertainties in the parameters of a model using a sequence of random…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-10 Joshua S. Speagle

Currently, the primordial helium abundance is best estimated through spectroscopic observations of H II regions in metal-poor galaxies. However these determinations are limited by several systematic uncertainties which ultimately limit our…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-17 Erik Aver , Danielle A. Berg , Keith A. Olive , Richard W. Pogge , John J. Salzer , Evan D. Skillman

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms play an important role in statistical inference problems dealing with intractable probability distributions. Recently, many MCMC algorithms such as Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and Riemannian…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

Understanding the physical conditions of dark molecular clouds and star forming regions is an inverse problem subject to complicated chemistry that varies non-linearly with time and the physical environment. In this paper we apply a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-09-25 Antonios Makrymallis , Serena Viti

We investigate the applicability of the well-known multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to the class of density-driven flow problems, in particular the problem of salinisation of coastal aquifers. As a test case, we solve the uncertain…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Dmitry Logashenko , Alexander Litvinenko , Raul Tempone , Ekaterina Vasilyeva , Gabriel Wittum

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for performing approximate inference in complex probabilistic models of continuous variables. In common with many MCMC methods, however, the standard HMC…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-12 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

We apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to the problem of parametric galaxy modeling, estimating posterior distributions of galaxy properties such as ellipticity and brightness for more than 100,000 images of galaxies taken from DC2, a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-20 James J. Buchanan , Michael D. Schneider , Kerianne Pruett , Robert E. Armstrong

Currently there are two significantly different observational determinations of the primordial helium abundance, and, if only statistical errors in He4 abundance determinations are considered, the discrepancies between the observational…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-15 Keith A. Olive , Evan D. Skillman

Observations of helium and hydrogen emission lines from metal-poor extragalactic H II regions provide an independent method for determining the primordial helium abundance, Y_p. Traditionally, the emission lines employed are in the visible…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 Erik Aver , Keith A. Olive , Evan D. Skillman

The primordial helium abundance Y_p is commonly inferred from abundance determinations in low-metallicity extragalactic HII-regions. Such determinations may be subject to systematic uncertainties that are investigated here. Particular…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Sauer , K. Jedamzik

Of the light element abundances capable of testing standard big bang nucleosynthesis, only He4 is measured with an accuracy of a few percent. Thus, it is imperative to establish a comprehensive technique for determining He4 abundances and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Keith A. Olive , Evan D. Skillman
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