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To model recurrent interaction events in continuous time, an extension of the stochastic block model is proposed where every individual belongs to a latent group and interactions between two individuals follow a conditional inhomogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Catherine Matias , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

We present two different approaches for parameter learning in several mixture models in one dimension. Our first approach uses complex-analytic methods and applies to Gaussian mixtures with shared variance, binomial mixtures with shared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Akshay Krishnamurthy , Arya Mazumdar , Andrew McGregor , Soumyabrata Pal

Pattern-mixture models provide a transparent approach for handling missing data, where the full-data distribution is factorized in a way that explicitly shows the parts that can be estimated from observed data alone, and the parts that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-26 Yen-Chi Chen , Mauricio Sadinle

We derive mixing properties for a broad class of Poisson count time series satisfying a certain contraction condition. Using specific coupling techniques, we prove absolute regularity at a geometric rate not only for stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Paul Doukhan , Anne Leucht , Michael H Neumann

Stochastic models for collections of interacting populations have crucial roles in scientific fields such as epidemiology and ecology, yet the standard approach to extending an ordinary differential equation model to a Markov chain does not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Ning Ning , Edward L. Ionides

1. Species distribution models (SDM) are tools used to determine environmental features that influence the geographic distribution of species' abundance and have been used to analyze presence-only records. Analysis of presence-only records…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-05 Trevor Hefley , Andrew Tyre , David Baasch , Erin Blankenship

This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-12 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

Cascades of Poisson processes are probabilistic models for spatio-temporal phenomena in which (i) previous events may trigger subsequent events, and (ii) both the background and triggering processes are conditionally Poisson. Such phenomena…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-14 Chris. J. Oates

We show that density models describing multiple observables with (i) hard boundaries and (ii) dependence on external parameters may be created using an auto-regressive Gaussian mixture model. The model is designed to capture how observable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-01 Stephen B. Menary , Darren D. Price

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We study the a priori error analysis of finite element methods for Biot's consolidation model. We consider a formulation which has the stress tensor, the fluid flux, the solid displacement, and the pore pressure as unknowns. Two mixed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Jeonghun J. Lee

We present in this paper a novel non-parametric approach useful for clustering Markov processes. We introduce a pre-processing step consisting in mapping multivariate independent and identically distributed samples from random variables to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Gautier Marti , Frank Nielsen , Philippe Very , Philippe Donnat

This paper proposes a new methodology to perform Bayesian inference for a class of multidimensional Cox processes in which the intensity function is piecewise constant. Poisson processes with piecewise constant intensity functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-16 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Barbara C. C. Dias

We present a Bayesian model for estimating the joint distribution of multivariate categorical data when units are nested within groups. Such data arise frequently in social science settings, for example, people living in households. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Jingchen Hu , Jerome P. Reiter , Quanli Wang

In model-based-clustering mixture models are used to group data points into clusters. A useful concept introduced for Gaussian mixtures by Malsiner Walli et al (2016) are sparse finite mixtures, where the prior distribution on the weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-23 Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Gertraud Malsiner-Walli

To identify novel dynamic patterns of gene expression, we develop a statistical method to cluster noisy measurements of gene expression collected from multiple replicates at multiple time points, with an unknown number of clusters. We…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Audrey Qiuyan Fu , Steven Russell , Sarah J. Bray , Simon Tavaré

Point processes offer a versatile framework for sequential event modeling. However, the computational challenges and constrained representational power of the existing point process models have impeded their potential for wider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Zheng Dong , Zekai Fan , Shixiang Zhu

This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian framework called VariScan for simultaneous clustering, variable selection, and prediction in high-throughput regression settings. Poisson-Dirichlet processes are utilized to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Subharup Guha , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

We present an approximate Bayesian inference approach for estimating the intensity of an inhomogeneous Poisson process, where the intensity function is modelled using a Gaussian process (GP) prior via a sigmoid link function. Augmenting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-06 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper
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